Jan 15, 2024, 11:45 PM EST
Haley may win a county after all
Johnson County, one of the most diverse, well-educated counties in Iowa, now shows Nikki Haley in the lead … by 1 vote, according to ABC News.
—Mary Radcliffe, 538
Iowa caucuses 2024: Trump projected to win, DeSantis 2nd
Haley finishes 3rd, Ramaswamy drops out after finishing 4th.
By538 and ABC News 
Last Updated: January 15, 2024, 5:15 PM EST
The first election of the 2024 presidential primaries is in the books, and former President Donald Trump was the big winner. ABC News projects that Trump finished first in the Iowa caucuses, about 30 percentage points ahead of second-place finisher Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis. Former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley is projected to finish third, while businessman Vivek Ramaswamy is projected to finish fourth. As a result, Ramaswamy has dropped out of the presidential race.
Throughout the night, 538 reporters broke down the results in Iowa in real time with live updates, analysis and commentary. Read our full live blog below.
Latest headlines:
- Jan 15, 2024, 11:51 PM EST
- Jan 16, 2024, 12:07 AM EST
- Jan 15, 2024, 11:30 PM EST
- Jan 15, 2024, 8:32 PM EST
Here's how the news is developing. All times Eastern.
Jan 15, 2024, 11:36 PM EST
Haley is making history for Republican women
Our friends over at The 19th have pointed out that Haley is likely to become the first woman to win more than one delegate in the Republican primary. If she pulls off an upset in New Hampshire later this month, she'll become the first woman to win a Republican primary contest. In that same state, then-former Sen. Hillary Clinton was the first woman to ever win a major party primary contest in 2008, when she captured a surprise victory after coming in third in Iowa, which Obama won.
Christian Monterrosa/AFP via Getty Images
—Monica Potts, 538
Jan 15, 2024, 11:35 PM EST
DeSantis gives a victory speech after losing Iowa
DeSantis just finished his caucus-night speech, and it sounded a lot like a victory speech. He told a raucous crowd that, despite everyone underestimating their campaign, they punched their ticket out of Iowa. Of course, DeSantis did not win the state, and his 30-point deficit to Trump raises serious questions about the future viability of his campaign. There was a lot of positive spin up on that stage.
—Nathaniel Rakich, 538
Jan 15, 2024, 11:34 PM EST
DeSantis gets serious about GOP history
I admit that I did not expect to hear a Gettysburg Address quote tonight, but DeSantis said it twice, and mentioned Lincoln and Gettysburg — and Reagan and the Cold War — outright.
—Julia Azari, 538 contributor
