Super Tuesday primaries 2024: Trump and Biden dominate, Haley drops out

538 tracked how Trump and Haley did, plus key U.S. House and Senate races.

By538 Staff via five thirty eight logo
Last Updated: March 5, 2024, 4:58 PM EST

March 5 was Super Tuesday — the biggest election day of the year until the one in November! With former President Donald Trump projected to win 14 of the day's 15 GOP presidential nominating contests, former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley announced Wednesday morning that she is suspending her campaign.

It was also the first downballot primary day of 2024, with important contests for Senate, House and governor in states like Alabama, California, North Carolina and Texas.

538 reporters, analysts and contributors broke down the election results as they came in with live updates, analysis and commentary. Read our full live blog below.

Latest headlines:

Here's how the news is developing.
Nathaniel Rakich Image
ByNathaniel Rakich
Mar 06, 2024, 12:32 AM EST

An upset win for the Freedom Caucus

Interesting, Geoffrey. I was expecting Carl to win that one, as he had the geographic advantage: Carl and Moore were thrown together into this new district in redistricting, and Carl represented 59 percent of residents in the new district. But perhaps Moore’s conservative bona fides carried the day: He is a member of the House Freedom Caucus, so this primary was a victory for the insurgent wing of the Republican Party.

—Nathaniel Rakich, 538

Geoffrey Skelley Image
ByGeoffrey Skelley
Mar 06, 2024, 12:31 AM EST

Moore wins Alabama's 1st District Republican primary

ABC News projects that Rep. Barry Moore will defeat fellow Rep. Jerry Carl in Alabama's 1st District GOP primary, winning the lone incumbent-versus-incumbent primary we're expecting to have this cycle.

—Geoffrey Skelley, 538

Kaleigh Rogers Image
ByKaleigh Rogers
Mar 06, 2024, 12:27 AM EST

One last look at North Carolina

The big races I was eyeing in North Carolina are tightening up. In the 1st District (which is set to be the only competitive Congressional race in the Tar Heel state in November), wealthy businesswoman Laurie Buckhout is projected to win the GOP nomination. The 6th District looks destined for a runoff. In the 8th District, Mark Harris (whose 2018 win was thrown out due to allegations of ballot fraud) is projected to win the Republican nomination. And in the 13th District, Kelly Daughtry, an attorney who came in third in the Republican primary in 2022, is creeping closer to the 30 percent threshold needed to avoid a runoff. Not a ton of surprises, but an interesting night downballot for sure!

—Kaleigh Rogers, 538

North Carolina Congressional candidate, Laurie Buckhout.
Laurie Buckhout for Congress

Meredith Conroy Image
ByMeredith Conroy
Mar 06, 2024, 12:15 AM EST

What's going on in Katie Porter's district?

The race in California's 47th District is competitive within the Democratic field where, as we've mentioned, Rep. Katie Porter decided to run for Senate, opening up her House seat. The House primary she won in 2018 to face (and eventually defeat) the Republican incumbent, Mimi Walters was also competitive. In fact, Dave Min, who is running today, was the favored Democrat in that 2018 primary, but Porter beat him out to finish second, behind Walters, and went on to win the seat. With 46 percent of the expected vote in, Min is leading his closet rival, Joanna Weiss, by about 8 points.

—Meredith Conroy, 538 contributor