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Updated: Nov. 13, 2:44 PM ET

National Election Results: presidential

republicans icon Projection: Trump is President-elect
226
312
226
312
Harris
72,448,472
270 to win
Trump
75,616,420
Expected vote reporting: 96%

Deep Democratic bench gets opportunity in political wilderness

Democrats have no leader, but plenty of eager members waiting in the wings.

November 13, 2024, 5:11 AM

For the first time in four years, Democrats are leaderless. But chaos is a ladder, as the saying goes, and the party is packed with climbers.

Democrats are still sifting through the rubble of last week's election results, and many said that a period of grieving and soul-searching is due after Vice President Kamala Harris' loss. But over a dozen operatives said that the leadership vacuum fueled by her defeat will attract members of the party's deep bench who likely won't wait long to cast themselves as the messenger Democrats need to bounce back ahead of the 2028 election.

"I have not seen any outreach from the national party to folks for 2028. I think they're too busy playing the blame game, they're too busy knifing each other," said one person who has spoken to multiple potential 2028 candidates. "In terms of donors reaching out to their candidate of choice, that has been never ending over the course of the last four or five days. And then there's a lot of local outreach to people."

Democrats boast several governors, senators, House members and more rumored to have national ambitions.

Among them are California Gov. Gavin Newsom; Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker; Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear; Maryland Gov. Wes Moore; Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer; North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper; Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro; Georgia Sen. Raphael Warnock; New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker; Pennsylvania Sen. John Fetterman; California Rep. Ro Khanna; and Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg.

Harris and Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, her running mate, could also play some role in guiding the party, though it's unclear how much of an appetite there is in the party to allow the bench to take on a supporting role to members of the losing ticket.

Already, the jockeying is underway, albeit not yet in full force.

Shapiro has received calls from Democrats in his state, a source familiar with the matter confirmed, as has Beshear, who also wrote a New York Times op-ed examining his party's woes. Newsom held a call with his grassroots donor network and is set to be a top Trump antagonist, and Khanna is mulling a media blitz and listening tour to areas that have borne the brunt of deindustrialization, sources familiar with their thinking said.

Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro speaks at Pennsylvania Department of State's press briefing, after polls close, on the day of the 2024 U.S. presidential election, in Harrisburg, Pa., Nov. 5, 2024.
Rachel Wisniewski/Reuters

Buttigieg has traversed the country touting the administration's infrastructure achievements, often goes behind enemy lines to appear on Fox News and moved his residency to Michigan, which has an open gubernatorial race in two years. Fetterman has been vocal about what he calls his party's disconnect from working-class voters.

All have some kind of argument, whether it's a blue-collar appeal the party has been missing, proven electoral experience in red or purple areas, or something else, and most hit the campaign trail for Harris this year. More maneuvering is expected to come, especially once Trump takes office and his policies go into effect, likely galvanizing Democrats' base.

"I think that what you'll probably see beginning in January, is people who are at least considering being candidates come out with really detailed, expansive programs. Some may be about jobs, some may be about education, some may be about who knows what else. But it will probably be policy-based," said Dan Fee, a Democratic strategist and donor adviser based in Pennsylvania.

"I think you're going to see a lot of a lot of governors and a lot of other folks do the speaking circuit thing, be going to events, certainly heading into '26, you're going to see a lot of people endorsing folks," added one senior Democratic strategist, referencing the 2026 midterms.

There is no clear frontrunner in the beefy field, but some did see their personal stock rise during the Biden administration or as the result of the election.

Newsom, in particular, could benefit, given that his California roots and political base overlapped significantly with Harris'. But Buttigieg also boasts a beefier resume after four years in President Joe Biden's Cabinet, Shapiro and Beshear were vetted as part of Harris' veepstakes, and many hit the trail -- especially to the early primary state of New Hampshire -- throughout the year, helping them building relationships with local groups and voters.

California Governor Gavin Newsom speaks during a press conference at Raleigh Studios unveiling a vast expansion of California's Film and Television Credit Program, on Oct. 27, 2024, in Los Angeles.
Mario Tama/Getty Images, FILE

Still, anything can happen in four years.

Republicans, not too long ago, were walking in the political wilderness themselves after President Barack Obama won reelection in 2012, sparking a famed autopsy. Four years later, now-President-elect Donald Trump won his first term, ushering in two years of unified Republican control but a series of fits ever since over the identity of the party and how much it should hew to his brand.

Democrats too were on a high after Biden's win in 2020, a euphoria reinforced after the party defied the odds in the 2022 midterms to expand its Senate majority and limit its House losses. Now, they're conducting a postmortem of their own.

What's more, positioning oneself for higher office is more art than science. Appearing too eager risks turning off voters, while not stepping on the gas hard enough risks ceding ground to other aspirants.

But promoting oneself isn't the only way to improve one's standing amid the jockeying, and operatives predicted that the knives will be out.

"I think the [opposition research] books are probably already being built," said the operative who has spoken to multiple potential 2028 candidates.

For all the preparation, though, would-be party leaders can't make themselves so just by themselves. And party donors may not quite be ready to indulge a 2028 free-for-all as it analyzes its 2024 loss, especially after Harris' team boasted of smashing several fundraising records only to get swept in all seven swing states.

"People were being told this is a toss-up, and so, their biggest problem is going to be getting fundraising," said John Morgan, a prominent donor to Democratic candidates and causes. Donors "do not trust people with the money. Nobody does."

Vice President and Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris speaks during a campaign rally on the Benjamin Franklin Parkway in Philadelphia, Nov. 4, 2024.
Matt Slocum/AP

That's not expected to make a bench full of ambitious politicos collectively pump the brakes, though.

Several of the operatives who spoke to ABC News predicted a gargantuan 2028 primary field, even eclipsing that of 2020, which boasted over two dozen candidates.

"It's gonna make the 2020 presidential primary look like it was a small gathering. This is going to be frenzied, it's going to be competitive. There will be no punches pulled. And I think that's a good thing," a former Fetterman staffer said. "I hope we let it all out this time and the strongest person emerges."