— -- NOTABLES
--2016 RACE SEES SURGE OF INTEREST AMONG MILLENNIAL WOMEN: The drama of this year's presidential election isn't lost on millennial women. In a national poll conducted by ABC News and Refinery 29 of women between the ages of 18 and 35, nearly half said that they were more interested in this election than they were in 2012, according to ABC’s MEGHAN KENEALLY. In the poll, conducted from March 2-22, 38 percent of respondents identified as Democrats and 40 percent called themselves Independents. Some 16 percent called themselves Republicans. Sanders was the most popular candidate among those polled, with the longtime Independent-turned-Democrat receiving 35 percent. Women didn't necessarily stick together in terms of political support, however, as Clinton received only 25 percent. http://abcn.ws/1Q6pdzb
--BUT MANY STILL MAY NOT VOTE: Despite the increased interest in this year's election, that doesn't guarantee that the long-elusive youth vote will come out in droves. Only 58 percent of respondents were certain that they would vote in the presidential election, while 12 percent said they probably would. More than a quarter of respondents said there was a 50-50 chance or less that they wouldn't vote in November. The chances that millennial women actually show up on Election Day appear to go up with age as 52 percent of 18-21 year-olds are registered to vote but 72 percent of those 26 or older are already registered. http://abcn.ws/1Q6pdzb
--ANALYSIS -- ABC’s RICK KLEIN: One does not have to question Paul Ryan’s sincerity to question his ultimate veracity. The House speaker’s extraordinary news conference, held to reiterate his position that does not want and will not accept the Republican presidential nomination, will hush the Ryan buzz and mute some – though surely not all – of Donald Trump’s grievances against the RNC. But the fact is that if the convention heads where it looks like it might, not even Ryan can control where it goes. And if it comes for him, can he really balance the honest-broker chairman role at the convention with that of an organically drafted candidate? There’s a plausible scenario where neither Trump nor Ted Cruz demonstrates an ability to lock down 1,237 delegate votes after two, three, four ballots. The what? “Count me out,” is what Ryan said Tuesday. What happens when the GOP needs to deal someone new in, though?
YESTERDAY ON THE TRAIL with ABC’s VERONICA STRACQUALURSI and PAOLA CHAVEZ
WHERE 2016 CANDIDATES STAND IN NY A WEEK BEFORE PRIMARY. The two presidential candidates who call New York home have significant leads in their respective races before the state's primaries next Tuesday. The latest poll has Donald Trump leading by more than 30 percent and Hillary Clinton ahead by 14 percent, according to the NBC-Wall Street Journal-Marist survey released Monday. ABC’s MEGHAN KENEALLY notes, the margins between Trump and Clinton and their respective rivals are relatively large but both have actually shrunk since the last poll was released. http://abcn.ws/1SdpkQY
KASICH DELIVERS INDICTMENT OF TRUMP’S VISION OF AMERICA. Republican presidential hopeful John Kasich explained to voters Tuesday that they should not “let anybody, particularly a politician, tell you that America is not great,” delivering a strong rebuke of GOP front-runner Donald Trump’s pledge to “make America great again," at a speech he delivered in Manhattan, Tuesday. Kasich presented “two paths” -- one that “exploits anger, encourages resentment, turns fear into hatred and divides people" -- and another “higher path" in which "America’s supposed decline becomes its finest hour, because we came together to say ‘no' to those who would prey on our human weakness and instead chose leadership that serves, helping us look up, not down.” ABC’s BEN GITTLESON has more. http://abcn.ws/23rBDyg
TRUMP’S HISTORY WITH THE MEN HE NAMED WHEN ASKED ABOUT POSSIBLE VP PICKS. Front-runner Donald Trump may still be battling for the Republican presidential nomination, but that hasn't stopped him from speculating about possible running mates. The New York real estate mogul is known for doling out insults about his rivals, which apparently doesn’t disqualify them as potential vice presidential candidates. During an interview with USA Today, Trump speculated that "there are people I have in mind in terms of vice president," and went on to cite Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, Ohio Gov. John Kasich and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker. ABC’s MEGHAN KENEALLY notes some examples of how Trump has "hit" each one of them in recent months. http://abcn.ws/1TPriGw
NOTED: CLINTON LIBRARY RELEASES TRUMP PAPERS. The Clinton Presidential Library yesterday released 464 pages of documents related to Donald Trump and the Trump Organization following a Freedom of Information Act request. The trove of documents includes Trump’s invitations to White House events, a photo of Bill Clinton and Trump at Trump Towers in New York, and an autographed copy of Trump's book "The Art of the Deal." Here are the highlights, courtesy of ABC’s VERONICA STRACQUALURSI: http://abcn.ws/1NmBrDZ
CLINTON WAGES TWO-FRONT BATTLE AGAINST SANDERS, TRUMP. Democratic presidential front-runner Hillary Clinton, eager to turn to the general election but still facing a more competitive than expected primary against Bernie Sanders, is now simultaneously campaigning against both her current opponent and her potential future one, Donald Trump. Ahead of the primary next week in New York -- a state with ties to all three candidates -- the Clinton campaign has debuted a new television ad that outright attacks Trump, while also taking a subtle swipe at the Vermont senator, ABC’s LIZ KREUTZ notes. “With so much at stake,” a voice-over in the ad concludes following footage of the Republican presidential front-runner, “she’s the one tough enough to stop Trump.” Meanwhile, on Monday, Clinton held back-to-back campaign events, one seemingly aimed at Trump, the other at Sanders. http://abcn.ws/22sffzb
JOHN KASICH COURTS THE JEWISH VOTE IN BROOKLYN. Republican presidential candidate John Kasich toured a matzo bakery and perused Jewish literature in Brooklyn Tuesday, as he courted the Jewish vote a week before New York’s Republican primary and 10 days before the start of the Jewish holiday Passover. The Ohio governor chatted about his favorite Biblical figures -- Joseph and Joshua are at the top of his list -- and delivered an impromptu speech on a sidewalk in Brooklyn’s Borough Park neighborhood, home to a large Orthodox Jewish population, about Judaism's strengths and its links to his faith, Christianity. ABC’s BEN GITTLESON has more. http://abcn.ws/1WqrUDe
IN CASE YOU MISSED IT
CLINTON’S 10 MOST MEMORABLE MOMENTS IN YEAR-LONG CAMPAIGN. Hillary Clinton's bid for the White House began a year ago Tuesday, when she officially announced her campaign for the Democratic nod ahead of the 2016 race. The past 12 months has been full of highs and lows as the Democratic presidential candidate attempted to navigate her way through a controversy concerning emails during her tenure as secretary of state, the rise of rival Bernie Sanders and the phenomenon of Donald Trump. ABC’s LIZ KREUTZ and PAOLA CHAVEZ highlight some of the moments that most define her campaign's first year. http://abcn.ws/1S44iiu
IN THE NOTE’S INBOX
--HAPPENING TODAY: CARLY FIORINA ENDORSES THREE SENATE CANDIDATES. From an e-mail being sent to supporters by Carly for America: “I'm proud to endorse three incredible citizen-leaders for the U.S. Senate: Mike Lee in Utah, Pat Toomey in Pennsylvania, and Marlin Stutzman in Indiana. All of these candidates are the kind of outsider, conservative leaders we need to elect in 2016. And in the weeks to come, Carly for America will use our resources and our experience to help conservative outsiders like these win. Because taking our country back means electing citizen leaders to every level of government, not just the White House.”
--UCAMPAIGN ANNOUNCES 100,000 DOWNLOADS. A source tells The Note: “uCampaign (www.ucampaignapp.com), the DC-based start-up that created the … Cruz Crew app has seen its custom smartphone apps downloaded more than 100,000 times, the company’s CEO Thomas Peters will announce today. Over the past nine months, supporters have used its apps to make more than 30,000 donations, send more than 400,000 1-on-1 invites to their friends and family, and perform more than 1 million individual actions, such as reminding their friends to vote, signing up to volunteer, and sharing content to their social networks.”
--MONSANTO WEIGHS IN ON MISSOURI LEGISLATION. According to a source, the agricultural giant Monsanto is weighing in on legislation in the Missouri state legislature that models controversial bills passed in North Carolina and Alabama. Today, Duane Simpson, the lead State and Local Government Affairs representative for Monsanto, will be testifying in the Missouri House Emerging Issues Committee against the bill: SJR 39. “As drafted, this legislation will impair our ability to compete for world class talent,” Simpson will say according to an excerpt of his testimony. “It would make our employees and their family members less secure in their daily lives. It would harm the reputation of our entire state, potentially costing the state millions of dollars in economic activity and untold losses in the dignity every citizen of Missouri deserves.”
@rickklein: WHCD preview- Larry Wilmore on Trump: "never seen such shallowness put on display and rewarded so much." http://blog.siriusxm.com/2016/04/12/larry-wilmore-trump-is-a-shallow-fool/ … @juliemason
@PhilipRucker: Kasich espouses experience, problem solving, coming together. That message worked for R’s in ‘90s & ‘00s. But now?
@EamonJavers: Reporters all over Washington looking for wiggle room in this statement: "I do not want, nor will I accept, the Republican nomination."
@brianjameswalsh: Add Nebraska to the list of states where @realDonaldTrump didn't invest in a ground game. Really bad management.