Putin 'angry and frustrated,' CIA director says, likely to 'double down' in Ukraine

U.S. intelligence chiefs testified about the Russian president's intentions.

March 8, 2022, 1:47 PM

Top U.S. intelligence agency officials on Tuesday offered a sobering assessment of Russian President Vladimir Putin's objectives in Ukraine, and how the invasion could affect the safety and security of the United States.

"The [Intelligence Community], as you know, provided warning of President Putin's plans, but this is a case where I think all of us wish we had been wrong," Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines told the House Intelligence Committee at its annual hearing on worldwide threats.

PHOTO: Christopher Wray, General Paul Nakasone, Avril Haines, William Burns and General Scott Berrier, testify before a House Oversight Committee hearing on 'worldwide threats' in the Rayburn House Office Building in Washington, D.C., on March 8, 2022.
Christopher Wray, Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation; General Paul Nakasone, Director of the National Security Agency; Avril Haines, Director of National Intelligence; William Burns, Director of the Central Intelligence Agency; and General Scott Berrier, Director of the Defense Intelligence Agency, testify before a House Oversight Committee hearing on "worldwide threats," in Washington, D.C., on March 8, 2022.
Jim Lo Scalzo/EPA via Shutterstock

Russia's failure to rapidly seize Kiev and overwhelm Ukrainian forces has deprived Moscow of the quick military victory they probably had originally expected would prevent the United States and NATO from being able to provide meaningful military aid to Ukraine."

Adding that the U.S. is seeing an "ill-constructed plan, morale issues and considerable logistical issues" among Russian troops, Haines said it is "unclear" whether Russia will pursue a plan to capture all of Ukraine, but that it's already loosening its rules of engagement.

"Russian forces are at the very least operating with reckless disregard for the safety of noncombatants, as Russian units launch artillery and airstrikes into urban areas as they have done in cities across Ukraine and near critical infrastructures such as the nuclear plant, and the IC is engaged across the interagency to document and hold Russia and Russian actors accountable for their actions," she said.

"We assess Putin feels aggrieved. The West has not given proper deference and perceives this as a war he cannot afford to lose," Haines said.

PHOTO: Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines testifies before a House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence hearing on "worldwide threats" at the U.S. Capitol building in Washington, D.C.. March 8, 2022.
Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines testifies before a House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence hearing on "worldwide threats" at the U.S. Capitol building in Washington, D.C.. March 8, 2022.
Evelyn Hockstein/Reuters

CIA Director William Burns, a former U.S. ambassador to Moscow who has studied Putin for years, concurred that the Russian president is "angry and frustrated" by the situation in Ukraine, and will likely step up his efforts.

PHOTO: CIA Director William Burns testifies during a House Intelligence Committee hearing on "worldwide threats," on Capitol Hill in Washington, D.C., March 8, 2022.
CIA Director William Burns testifies during a House Intelligence Committee hearing on "worldwide threats," on Capitol Hill in Washington, D.C., March 8, 2022.
Stefani Reynolds/AFP via Getty Images

"He's likely to double down and try to grind down the Ukrainian military with no regard for civilian casualties," Burns testified. "He has no sustainable political endgame in the face of what is going to continue to be fierce resistance from Ukrainians."

"Putin has commented privately and publicly over the years that he doesn't believe Ukraine's a real country," Burns continued. "He's dead wrong about that -- real countries fight back. And that's what the Ukrainians have done quite heroically over the last 12 days."

"I think he's been unsettled by the Western reaction and allied resolve particularly some of the decisions the German government has taken. I think he's been unsettled by the performance of his own military," he said. "The big countries don't get to swallow up small countries just because they can."

He called Putin's actions in the past two weeks "premeditated and savage."

PHOTO: In this screen grab from video released by the Russian Presidential Press Service, Russian President Vladimir Putin speaks to celebrate International Women's Day, in Moscow, on March 8, 2022.
In this screen grab from video released by the Russian Presidential Press Service, Russian President Vladimir Putin speaks to celebrate International Women's Day, in Moscow, on March 8, 2022.
Russian Presidential Press Service via AP

Asked about Putin's mental state, Burns did not answer directly, but did say Putin's views on Ukraine have "hardened over the years."

"I think he's far more insulated from other points of view and people who would challenge or question his views in but in my opinion that doesn't make him crazy, but it makes them extremely difficult to deal with because of the hardening of his views over time and a narrowing of his inner circle," he said.

National Security Agency Director Gen. Paukl Nakasone said the U.S. had gamed out scenarios for a Russian cyberattack.

"We have to get better , we have to harden our infrastructure and have ability to be resilient," he said.

"We have to get better , we have to harden our infrastructure and have ability to be resilient."

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