Above-average Atlantic hurricane season predicted as peak weeks near

The peak period of hurricane season is historically mid-August through October.

August 04, 2021, 11:49 AM

There's a 65% chance for an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season as the most dangerous weeks inch closer, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said Wednesday as the agency released its updated outlook.

There's a 10% likelihood of a below-normal season and a 25% chance of a near-normal season, NOAA added.

Initially, 13 to 20 named storms were expected this year, which is already well above the average of 14 named storms. Now the forecast is for 15 to 21 named storms (including the five named storms so far in 2021).

PHOTO: 2021 Hurricane Season weather map.
2021 Hurricane Season weather map.
ABC News

NOAA said to expect seven to 10 hurricanes this season.

PHOTO: 2021 Atlantic Season weather map.
2021 Atlantic Season weather map.
ABC News

Matthew Rosencrans, lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, attributed the intensified forecast to a "mix of competing oceanic and atmospheric conditions ... including the potential return of La Nina in the months ahead."

Sept. 10 marks the peak of hurricane season. The peak period of the season is historically mid-August through October.

The season ends Nov. 30.

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