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Undecided races of the 2024 election: Live results and analysis
We're tracking unresolved races in the Senate, House and more.
Former President Donald Trump has won back the White House, and Republicans have won control of the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives. But we still don't know how big the GOP's Senate and House majorities will be, since there are still several races that don't have a projected winner. The outcomes of these elections could have major implications for how easy it will be for Trump to enact his second-term agenda.
However, it could be a while before we know who won these races. California — home to multiple undecided House races — is still working through counting all its ballots. Other races will require ranked-choice voting to resolve. And still others, like Pennsylvania's Senate race, could go to a recount.
We at 538 will be tracking it all on this live blog dedicated to all the outstanding races of the 2024 election. Join us for live updates, analysis and commentary until the last major race is decided.
Key Headlines
A record number of women will serve as governors
Currently, 12 women serve as their state's governor, a record that will be broken with Republican Kelly Ayotte's win in New Hampshire's governors race. Of the 13 women who will be governor after Ayotte is inaugurated, just five are Republicans.
In North Carolina, Democrats hold key congressional seat
ABC News reports that Democratic Rep. Don Davis is projected to win his race in North Carolina's 1st District. With 91% of the expected vote in, Davis narrowly leads his Republican challenger Laurie Buckhout, 49% to 48%.
Notably, Buckhout had already conceded on Wednesday afternoon. "While Don and I have different visions, it is obvious to everyone he cares about this district," she wrote in a recent social media post. Given this, it's unlikely she'll request a recount — as she was once considering doing.
Democrats have held this seat since the 1890s. But the party's slim voting margin might be reason to worry — as it's likely the GOP will target this seat in future races. Even ahead of Tuesday, the nonpartisan Cook Political Report said that the district was a "toss-up," and 538's forecast had it listed as "likely Democrat."
Gonzalez ekes out win in Texas's 34th District
ABC News is reporting that in Texas's 34th District, Democratic Rep. Vicente Gonzalez is projected to retain control. With 99% of the expected vote reporting, Gonzalez eked out a win against Republican Mayra Flores, 51% to 49%.
Despite a Democratic win here, though, South Texas's overall political shift is incredibly fascinating. Take this example: In Hidalgo County, the most populous in the Rio Grande Valley, Trump beat Harris by 3 percentage points. Compare this to 2020, when Biden won the county by nearly 17 points. Gonzalez might've survived to see another two years in the House, but given the political realignment of Latinos in South Texas, it's likely that Democrats will have to fight even harder for these seats in future elections.
Democrats will keep Nevada's 4th District
ABC News reports that Democratic Rep. Steven Horsford is projected to win in Nevada's 4th Congressional District. The district, which stretches from North Las Vegas almost to Reno, was one of the three Democratic-held seats in the state that Republicans hoped to flip. The other two were the 1st, which Democrats are also expected to hold, and the 3rd, in which a winner hasn't been projected and which is very close. The Senate and presidential races in the state are still undecided as well.