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Election Day 2024 live results: Trump projected to win North Carolina, a key swing state

We're tracking races for president, Senate, House and more across the country.

Polls have closed in some states and the first results are coming in in the high-stakes presidential match-up between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. According to 538's forecast, both candidates have a roughly equal chance to win.

Voters are still at polling places around the country, casting ballots to decide who controls not only the White House, but also Congress, state and local governments.

Reporters from 538 and ABC News will be following along every step of the way with live updates, analysis and commentary on the results. Keep up to date with our full live blog below!


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Trump is projected to carry South Carolina’s 9 electoral votes

Unsurprisingly, ABC News projects that Trump will win in South Carolina, a state that has been reliably red in presidential races since at least 1984. (Republicans won the state in 1980 also, but not by a very large margin.)

Also in the Palmetto State tonight, a ballot referendum that would prohibit noncitizens from voting in state and local elections, one of a raft of such measures around the country. With 23% of the expected vote reporting, the measure looks almost sure to pass: 84% of voters have voted in favor, with 16% opposed.


Josh Stein projected to win North Carolina’s gubernatorial race

ABC News is projecting that Democrat Josh Stein will win North Carolina’s gubernatorial race. He’s currently leading Republican Mark Robinson, 59% to 37%, with 8% of the vote in.


Are Republican women secretly voting for Harris?

You probably saw the viral campaign ad, voiced by Julia Roberts, where a MAGA wife and her husband go to the polls, and the wife secretly votes for Harris. While we don't know if this is common or not, according to a recent survey by Gender on the Ballot, 20% of Republican women say they sometimes or regularly feel pressure from their partner to agree with them politically compared to 16% of Democrats.


Highly nationalized races are bad for the Senate Democrats.

To the question of just how nationalized this election is. The Democrats have to hope that the answer is, "not too nationalized." That's because in recent years, their capacity to compete in the Senate has depended on winning a set of states that lean slightly Republican relative to the nation as a whole. So if the GOP wins the Senate races in every state where they do better than they do nationwide, they will take home states including Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Arizona, all of which have Senate races up tonight.