To our conversation on issue-related polling vs. vibes, I read that post today too, Nathaniel, but I think there's still something interesting in the polling around what voters say they're focused on. I've been tracking this throughout the primaries, and I think it can help hone in on how voters in different states are thinking about the issues that impact their communities. For example, we learned that Maryland voters are more focused on crime than voters in other states. Georgia Democrats are particularly worried about healthcare. Illinoisans are focused on crime and taxes.

These kinds of insights perhaps don't tell us who voters are going to choose at the ballot box, but they do tell us something about how voters are thinking about politics. And while a lot of voting choices may be just vibes, which vibes voters care about are probably connected to the issues they see as important in their local communities.

—Mary Radcliffe, 538

Mere minutes after polls closed in Oregon's 6th District, ABC News reports that Erickson is projected to win the GOP primary. With about 37 percent of the expected vote counted, Erickson leads the field with 75 percent. The businessman only spent $43,000 on his primary bid but easily secured a rematch against Salinas, who is favored to win a second term in this relatively new district.

—Jacob Rubashkin, Inside Elections

The night's only halfway over! And for anyone who took my advice to watch today's Pacers-Celtics game, overtime wrapped up just in time for our last polls to close.

As of 11 p.m. Eastern, polls are now closed in the Idaho panhandle and nearly all of Oregon, plus the California 20th District special runoff election to fill Kevin McCarthy's vacant House seat.

—Tia Yang, 538

Right on cue, Jacob: Oregon’s most competitive House race this fall will likely be in the 5th District, where Republican Rep. Lori Chavez-DeRemer is defending a seat that Biden would’ve carried by 9 percentage points. That potential prize has precipitated a highly competitive Democratic primary between state Rep. Janelle Bynum and attorney Jamie McLeod-Skinner. Bynum has led the way in fundraising, bringing in $1.1 million to McLeod-Skinner’s $726,000. But McLeod-Skinner may be better known, having defeated incumbent Rep. Kurt Schrader in the 2022 Democratic primary before losing to Chavez-DeRemer by 2 points in the general election later that year.

Perhaps with this loss in mind, many Democratic officials — including the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee — are backing Bynum over McLeod-Skinner as the better bet to defeat Chavez-DeRemer this fall. The DCCC has even taken the unusual step of running “hybrid ads” with Bynum that both promote her candidacy and Democrats more broadly, allowing both to save money by splitting advertising costs. Outside groups have also come in big for Bynum by spending around $1.2 million either backing her or opposing McLeod-Skinner, according to OpenSecrets — including $759,000 in ad spending from Mainstream Democrats PAC criticizing McLeod-Skinner over reports that she behaved poorly toward her campaign staff in 2022. Additionally, EMILYs List has endorsed Bynum, a change from 2022 when it endorsed McLeod-Skinner (albeit after that year’s primary).

McLeod-Skinner has countered by running ads highlighting Bynum’s 2019 vote to oppose expanding the statute of limitations for rape survivors to file civil suits in sexual assault cases. Bynum defended the vote at the time, saying “it’s not popular to protect the accused, but it is our job.” Additionally, an outside group called Health Equity Now has spent about $350,000 on ads promoting McLeod-Skinner as a progressive. However, the group appears to have Republican ties, so it may be a case of GOP meddling to boost a potentially weaker general election candidate. Regardless, the race certainly looks close: The only polling that we’ve seen of the primary this year is a late April survey by Brilliant Corners Research & Strategies on behalf of Bynum’s campaign that found her a hair ahead of McLeod-Skinner, 37 percent to 34 percent.

—Geoffrey Skelley, 538

Coming into today, we were tracking 31 people of color running for Congress in today’s primaries — 27 Democrats and four Republicans. With much of Georgia and Kentucky’s results in, we know the electoral fates of more than two-thirds of those contenders.

In Georgia, five incumbent Black Democrats all won renomination, including McBath, who cruised in the redrawn 6th District despite not previously representing any of this turf in her current district (the old 7th District). Scott didn’t have it as easy in the new 13th District, of which he only represents about one-third of right now, but he won the Democratic primary with 59 percent of the vote against a crowded field of challengers. Flowers, perhaps the most noteworthy of Scott’s opponents, finished in third with 10 percent. Democratic Reps. Sanford Bishop, Hank Johnson and Nikema Williams were all unopposed in their primaries.

Two other Black candidates have been projected as winners in Democratic primaries in solidly red Georgia seats. In the 8th District, Darrius Butler won his primary but will be a clear underdog against Republican Rep. Austin Scott. The same is true in the 12th District for Liz Johnson, who has to face GOP Rep. Rick Allen in November. On the GOP side, Latino contender Jonathan Chavez won the right to face Scott in the 13th District, which will almost certainly vote Democratic in November. And in the 4th District, Eugene Yu was unopposed for the GOP nomination; he’ll be a huge underdog against Johnson in the general election.

The remaining candidates of color with a shot at winning today are in Oregon, where we won’t have results for a while to come.

—Geoffrey Skelley, 538