Georgia, Oregon, Idaho and Kentucky primaries 2024: Willis, McAfee win; tough night for progressives

Abortion didn’t help liberals flip a Georgia Supreme Court seat.

On May 21, voters in Georgia, Idaho, Oregon, Kentucky and California held key elections for Congress and nationally watched local races. Two key figures from one of Trump’s legal cases, Fani Willis and Scott McAfee, easily won their races, while conservatives won a Georgia Supreme Court election fought largely over abortion. In the House, progressives lost two key races in Oregon, while California voters picked a successor to Kevin McCarthy.

As usual, 538 reporters and contributors broke down the election results as they came in with live updates, analysis and commentary. Read our full live blog below.


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Knott County, Kentucky, residents will soon be able to buy booze

In Kentucky, each county can determine whether to allow alcohol sales, and to what degree. In the 2023 general election, several counties approved the sale of alcohol after having been dry for decades. Tonight, after 3 previous failed attempts, a small southeastern Kentucky county finally voted to approve liquor sales. Cheers, Knott County.

—Mary Radcliffe, 538


Keeping an eye on a GOP incumbent in Idaho’s 2nd District primary

Polls close in part of Idaho in about a half an hour, but the only race we're really watching there is the GOP primary in the 2nd Congressional District. Republican Rep. Mike Simpson has represented the solidly red seat since first winning it in 1998, and he seems more likely than not to claim a 14th term in Congress this year. However, Simpson's relatively centrist brand has previously caused him trouble, like in 2022 when he only won 55 percent against a well-funded primary challenger.

Now, Simpson doesn't have the same scale of opposition this time around: His main competitor is Scott Cleveland, an Ada County (Boise) GOP central committee member running to Simpson's right who's only raised $100,000. Still, we're keeping an eye on Simpson's vote share because some establishment Republicans this cycle have had weak primary performances against more right-wing challengers, like Arkansas Rep. Steve Womack and Texas Rep. Tony Gonzales (who still has to face his challenger again in a May 28 runoff).

—Geoffrey Skelley, 538


Scott still has a big lead in Georgia's 13th District Democratic primary

With 62 percent of the expected vote in, incumbent Georgia Rep. Scott has 61 percent of the vote so far, according to The Associated Press. His closest challenger, Baker, a former city council member who lost to Scott in 2022, is at 11 percent.

—Monica Potts, 538


Barrow wasn’t always such a crusader for abortion rights

Matt Klein, from the Cook Political Report with Amy Walter, reminds us that before reinventing himself as a crusader for abortion rights in this year's election, Barrow was a conservative Blue Dog Democrat in Congress:

Hard to come up with a better illustration of the old way to win elections as a Democrat in the Deep South vs. the new way!

—Nathaniel Rakich, 538


How candidates of color are doing so far tonight

Coming into today, we were tracking 31 people of color running for Congress in today’s primaries — 27 Democrats and four Republicans. With much of Georgia and Kentucky’s results in, we know the electoral fates of more than two-thirds of those contenders.

In Georgia, five incumbent Black Democrats all won renomination, including McBath, who cruised in the redrawn 6th District despite not previously representing any of this turf in her current district (the old 7th District). Scott didn’t have it as easy in the new 13th District, of which he only represents about one-third of right now, but he won the Democratic primary with 59 percent of the vote against a crowded field of challengers. Flowers, perhaps the most noteworthy of Scott’s opponents, finished in third with 10 percent. Democratic Reps. Sanford Bishop, Hank Johnson and Nikema Williams were all unopposed in their primaries.

Two other Black candidates have been projected as winners in Democratic primaries in solidly red Georgia seats. In the 8th District, Darrius Butler won his primary but will be a clear underdog against Republican Rep. Austin Scott. The same is true in the 12th District for Liz Johnson, who has to face GOP Rep. Rick Allen in November. On the GOP side, Latino contender Jonathan Chavez won the right to face Scott in the 13th District, which will almost certainly vote Democratic in November. And in the 4th District, Eugene Yu was unopposed for the GOP nomination; he’ll be a huge underdog against Johnson in the general election.

The remaining candidates of color with a shot at winning today are in Oregon, where we won’t have results for a while to come.

—Geoffrey Skelley, 538