Maryland, West Virginia and Nebraska primaries 2024: Alsobrooks beats Trone, GOP incumbents survive

538 tracked over 10 competitive primaries for Senate, House and governor.

Tuesday, May 14 was another busy primary day, as voters in three states decided who would be on their general election ballots this fall. In Maryland, Democrats nominated women in two safely Democratic congressional seats, including Angela Alsobrooks, who is poised to become only the third Black woman ever elected to the Senate. In West Virginia and Nebraska, incumbent Republican representatives fended off far-right challengers.

538 reporters and contributors broke down the election results as they came in with live updates, analysis and commentary. Read our full live blog below.


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Johnny O's lead is Johnny whoa

Not only did Olszewski win, Elliott, but he is blowing the competition out of the water with 82 percent of the vote (with 30 percent of the expected vote reporting). I can't remember ever seeing a non-incumbent doing that well in a primary.

—Nathaniel Rakich, 538


Maryland race has its GOP Senate nominee, but Democratic race is close

ABC News reports that former Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan is projected to win the Maryland Republican Senate primary. He leads Ficker 68 percent to 24 percent with 28 percent of the expected vote reporting. The popular former governor can now look ahead to a difficult campaign to win in his blue state, but one that has put the race on the map.

And with 25 percent of the expected vote reporting in the Democratic primary, Alsobrooks holds a slim lead over Trone, 49 percent to 48 percent. It's early to make much of the county-level patterns here, but it may be a good sign for Alsobrooks that she's down only 53 percent to 43 percent in Montgomery County, which is Trone's home county and where part of his congressional district sits. Meanwhile, she's taking care of business at home, as Alsobrooks leads 69 percent to 29 percent in Prince George's County.

—Geoffrey Skelley, 538


'Johnny O' gets a projected W in Maryland's 2nd District's Democratic primary

ABC News reports John Olszewski, Jr., the county executive for Baltimore County, also known as "Johnny O," is projected to win the Democratic primary for Maryland's 2nd Congressional District. He will face Republican nominee Kimberly Klacik, a commentator and former nominee for Maryland's 7th Congressional District, in November.

—G. Elliott Morris, 538


Get ready for Senator Babydog

With Justice very likely to get elected to the Senate in the fall, the nation is about to meet Babydog, his bulldog who has become a folk icon in West Virginia during his governorship.

—Nathaniel Rakich, 538


A messy GOP primary for West Virginia governor

With Justice term-limited out of the West Virginia governor's office, the open-seat Republican primary features members of three old West Virginia political families: former state Del. Moore Capito, the son of Sen. Shelley Moore Capito; car dealer Chris Miller, the son of Rep. Carol Miller; and Secretary of State Mac Warner, whose father and brother were both state legislators. However, the front-runner is a relative newcomer to the state: Attorney General Patrick Morrisey (whose first campaign was for New Jersey's 7th Congressional District in 2000).

Trump has not endorsed in this race, but (so?) the candidates have been tripping over each other to prove they are the most pro-Trump — and, in a state that recently banned gender-affirming care, the most anti-transgender. For example, a pro-Morrisey PAC has hammered Miller for "pro-transgender events" (its language for drag shows and a free clothing closet for transgender students) at Marshall University, where Miller served on the board of governors until last year. Meanwhile, supporters of Miller have hit back at Morrisey for being a lobbyist for a "drug company that helps turn boys into girls" in an ad that also unsubtly pokes fun at Morrisey's height and weight.

Thanks to his ability to self-fund, Miller has spent twice as much money as Morrisey, $6.2 million to $3.1 million. However, polls indicate it hasn't done that much to boost his support. Instead, it is Capito who looks like he poses the biggest threat to Morrisey: Since April 1, he has risen from 16 percent to 26 percent in 538's polling average of the race, within striking distance of Morrisey at 33 percent. (Miller is at 20 percent, and Warner is at 12 percent.) Capito recently received the endorsement of Justice himself, and if he wins, would likely govern in the incumbent's back-slapping, deal-making style; the Club for Growth and Americans for Prosperity-endorsed Morrisey, though, is more of a hardliner.

—Nathaniel Rakich, 538