South Carolina primary 2024: Trump projected to win, Haley vows to stay in the race

What can we take away from Trump's big Palmetto State victory?

Former President Donald Trump has won the South Carolina Republican primary, ABC News projects. It was a swift and embarrassing defeat for former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley, who rose to political prominence as South Carolina’s governor. Nevertheless, in her concession speech, Haley vowed to continue her campaign into Super Tuesday on March 5.

Throughout the evening, 538 reporters, analysts and contributors broke down the results as they came in with live updates, analysis and commentary. Read our full live blog below.


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You guys never watched “Rowan & Martin’s Laugh-In”?

Am I the only one who uses the term "bet your bippy"??

—Nathaniel Rakich, 538


Don't underestimate the ego factor

Right, so why is Haley sticking around if Trump is the presumptive nominee? We've put together a few hypotheses — spite, in case something happens, sticking it to the man etc — but, as ever with politicians, we cannot discount the possibility that she's in it for her. I keep thinking of Beto O'Rourke's "born to run" comments in the 2020 primary. A lot of politicians think this way!

—G. Elliott Morris, 538


… what is a bippy?

Nathaniel …

—Kaleigh Rogers, 538


But Haley doesn’t need to stay in the race for that, Monica

Haley’s name is already on the ballot in most future primary contests, as is DeSantis’s, Ramaswamy’s, etc. Haley can drop out of the race and then just jump back in if something happens to Trump. (You can bet your bippy that DeSantis would do that.) It’s not like Haley is going to win many delegates by losing to Trump by 30 points in every state.

—Nathaniel Rakich, 538


Final thought: Haley could actually win delegates tonight

We don't have final results by congressional district (much less overall), but as we can see from a map of the results, Haley is doing better along the coast near Charleston than in much of the rest of South Carolina. That may signal that Haley could carry the 1st Congressional District once all is said and done to win three delegates. That may not seem like much, but Trump swept South Carolina's delegates in 2016, and if Haley is sticking around, winning any delegates has to be part of her strategy to carry on.

Half of the 1st District's population is in Charleston and Beaufort counties, according to Daily Kos Elections — both of which Haley currently lead in. Another 49 percent of the district lies in Berkeley and Dorchester counties, both of which Trump holds an edge in (the remaining 1 percent is in Colleton and Jasper counties). Charleston and Dorchester are both split between the 1st and 6th, so we can't figure out the district-level result based purely on the county-level numbers. So we'll have to see. But Haley's showing in the 1st might be her one bright spot tonight.

—Geoffrey Skelley, 538