Overnight last night, ABC News projected that firearms manufacturer Pat Harrigan will be the GOP nominee in North Carolina's 10th District. He defeated more conservative Republican Grey Mills 41 percent to 39 percent. The 10th District is a solidly red seat currently represented by retiring Rep. Patrick McHenry, and Harrigan should have no trouble winning it in the fall.

—Nathaniel Rakich, 538

Last night, the "uncommitted" campaign made headway in a few more states. After a protest vote for Biden's response to Israel's war against Gaza helped net over 100,000 uncommitted votes in last week's Michigan Democratic primary, supporters of the Listen to Michigan campaign expanded their efforts to other states with "uncommitted" or similar language as an option on primary ballots.

With 89 percent of the expected vote reporting, 19 percent of Democratic primary voters in Minnesota voted uncommitted, eclipsing the 13 percent reached last week in Michigan. That means "uncommitted" will send at least 8 (and up to 11) delegates from Minnesota to the Democratic National Convention in August, per the latest ABC News projections.

"No preference" also garnered 13 percent of ballots cast in North Carolina and 9 percent in Massachusetts, while 8 percent of primary voters in Colorado chose "noncommitted." However, those aren't enough to meet their respective states' thresholds to send a delegate to the national convention. (That's 15 percent in all three of those states.)

—Irena Li, 538

While Haley called on Trump to earn Republicans' votes, Mitch McConnell suggested that he already has. "It is abundantly clear that former President Trump has earned the requisite support of Republican voters to be our nominee for President of the United States," McConnell said in a statement. The rest was pretty standard endorsement fare, going on to tout Trump's accomplishments on tax reform and judicial appointments, and criticizing Biden.

It's an undramatic end to the minor drama over whether the soon-departing majority leader would endorse Trump, with whom he's undoubtedly had a rocky relationship. In the end, McConnell waited until just after Trump's final major opponent dropped out to fall in line. With one of the last major (potential) party holdouts in his corner, the general election train is in full swing for Trump.

—Tia Yang, 538

According to the latest numbers from our colleagues at ABC News, Trump has 1,051 of the 1,215 delegates he needs to mathematically clinch the Republican nomination for president. Haley's withdrawal from the race puts him on track to reach that magic number next Tuesday, March 12. A total of 199 delegates will be allocated between now and then, and presumably Trump will win all or almost all of them.

—Nathaniel Rakich, 538

While we wait for polls to close and results to come in, I'll muse about the bigger picture here. Depending on how things go, this might be the end of Haley's candidacy. But either way, we should think about what's at stake in the contest between her and Trump. Broadly speaking, she has increasingly presented herself as the Trump/MAGA alternative. In some ways, she's made this distinction clear, most recently by suggesting she might not stick with her pledge to support the party nominee, and denouncing his actions on Jan. 6, 2021.

But the rest of her candidacy has been mostly about other stuff — how she'd be more competitive against Biden, and about giving voters a choice in the primary. On one of the main issues that set Trump apart from the rest of the GOP field in 2016, immigration, Haley has also been very conservative, signing one of the toughest state bills when she was governor of South Carolina and adopting Trump's language about toughness at the border. As in 2016, Trump seems poised to soundly defeat his primary rivals. But in terms of the real GOP alternatives to Trumpism, it's definitely not 2016 anymore.

—Julia Azari, 538 contributor