Alaska's at-large House seat continues to trend toward Republicans
Alaska counted an additional approximately 8,500 more votes last night, and things continue to look bright for Republican Nick Begich III in his bid to oust Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola. With 93% of the expected vote in, ABC News reports that Begich continues to lead 49% to 46%.
As a reminder, Alaska uses ranked-choice voting. So if a candidate does not win a majority of first-choice votes, then the subsequent rankings for Begich and Peltola will be taken into account. We reran our analysis of Alaska's Cast Vote Record with this latest release of votes, and our findings of the incomplete CVR data suggest that Begich would continue to lead after taking into account ranked-choice voting. Once all the subsequent rankings of voters who initially cast ballots for the third- and fourth-place contenders are carried out, Begich leads by about 52% to Peltola's 48%. Of course, Alaska is still tallying their ballots, so these numbers could change, though probably not by much.