Election 2024 updates: With Arizona, Trump sweeps all 7 swing states

Milwaukee will be recounting every absentee ballot that has been recorded so far, over 30,000, according to Alexander Shur of VoteBeat. This took place after election officials discovered an issue with a voting tabulator. Out of an abundance of caution, all 13 of the machines involved are being reset.

Milwaukee is one of the slowest reporting areas in Wisconsin, reporting the bulk of the votes early in the morning during the 2020 election. This hold-up nearly assures that the final count in the swing state will stretch late into the night.

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Milwaukee will rerun 30,000 absentee ballots

Milwaukee will retabulate approximately 30,000 absentee ballots following a human error at the city’s central ballot processing location, according to the mayor's office.

WISN

Americans are going to the polls Tuesday to cast their ballots in the historic election between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. Surveys ahead of Election Day found the two candidates in a virtual dead heat nationally and in several key swing states.

Broad economic discontent, sharp divisions about the nation's future and polarized views of the major-party candidates mark voter attitudes nationally in ABC News preliminary exit poll results. The state of democracy prevailed narrowly as the most important issue to voters out of five tested in the exit poll.

Read the full analysis here.

My colleagues have already taken you through some of 2024's highest-profile ballot measures, but that's just the tip of the iceberg! There are 146 statewide ballot measures being decided today, and they could result in some immediate, dramatic changes to state policy. Here are some of the most important measures to watch:

Eight states (plus Washington, D.C.) could dramatically change how they decide elections this year. Colorado and Idaho could vote to switch to a top-four primary and a ranked-choice general election. Alaska could vote to abolish such a system and return to partisan primaries. Nevada could implement a similar system but with a top-five primary. Montana could switch to a top-four primary with a TBD general election system, while Arizona could switch to a TBD primary system with a ranked-choice general election. South Dakota could also switch to a more conventional top-two primary, while Oregon and Washington, D.C., could add ranked-choice voting to their existing primary system.

Ohio could create an independent commission to draw the state's congressional and state legislative districts and require them to reflect the partisan balance of the state. However, it could be torpedoed by biased ballot language written by Republicans that says the commission would be "required to gerrymander."

Eight states (Iowa, Idaho, Kentucky, Missouri, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina and Wisconsin) will vote on ballot measures that would prohibit noncitizens from voting. However, this is already illegal at the federal level, and although 19 cities nationwide allow noncitizens to vote in local elections, none of them are in these eight states.

Three states (Florida, North Dakota and South Dakota) could legalize recreational marijuana. Massachusetts could go even further and legalize psychedelics. On the other hand, California could increase penalties for drug possession. The Golden State is also considering whether to lift restrictions on rent control to alleviate the state's high housing costs. And Arizona could make it a state crime to cross the border illegally.

Finally, there are a few ballot measures dealing with topics you don't normally associate with politics. For instance, Missouri will vote on whether to legalize sports betting, while Maine will decide whether to adopt a new state flag.

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Ballot measures you may be voting on this Election Day

Abortion, marijuana, psychedelics, involuntary servitude and minimum wage are just some of the initiatives states have put up for a vote.

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If it’s after 5 p.m. Eastern on Election Day, it’s exit poll time! If you’re watching the news or scrolling social media tonight ,you’re likely to encounter findings from this mega-poll of voters throughout the night (and coming weeks). But there are some reasons to take what you see, especially early, with a grain of salt.

The exit poll is a survey of voters nationally and in key states that asks people questions like who they voted for, when they made up their mind and why they voted the way they did. The exit poll is conducted by Edison Research (a survey research, voter data and election returns company) and sponsored by a consortium of news networks in the U.S. (ABC News is one of them.) ABC News will be reporting exit poll results nationally and in 10 states: the seven battleground states (Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin) plus Florida, Ohio and Texas.

Long ago, the exit poll only interviewed people in person as they left their polling places after casting ballots in person on Election Day. With the rise of mail-in and in-person early voting, the pollsters and statisticians behind the exit poll added telephone interviews to account for early and mail-in voters.

The exit poll is an incredible feat of engineering and a rich source of data on voter behavior in America, and you can expect it to be cited frequently after the election as a measure of “ground truth” (or at least one of the highest-quality estimates available) about how and why people voted. However, at the end of the day, the exit poll is just a very detailed survey, so it is not infallible. In particular, the way it is conducted warrants two main caveats:

First, the results of the exit poll can and will change over time, especially at the subgroup level. The earliest results of the exit poll are essentially toplines and crosstabs from a very large poll of voters, but which contain a lot of guesses about the eventual demographic composition of the country. As the votes roll in over the course of the election night (or week), the pollsters behind the scenes adjust the results of the poll to match the results of the election.

As a result, the findings of the exit poll can and do change as more votes are counted, especially for subgroups. In Wisconsin in 2020, for example, preliminary exit poll results had Trump +1 among men. In final data (weighted Wednesday morning), Trump was +10 among men. Overinterpreting the poll — say, if you had hitched your horse to the wagon of low or no gender gap in the electorate — risks setting up narratives that are swiftly knocked down with actual data.

The second word of caution is to remember the exit poll is just one imperfect estimate. Yes, it is generated with a lot of data and care, but misspecified weights or sampling noise can impact results just like with any other poll. Interpretations of the final exit poll results should be used with caution. As a result of all these caveats, 538 rarely cites exit polls, and we prefer to wait for actual results before wedding ourselves to narratives. If you are going to cite the exit poll, we recommend waiting until it has been at least somewhat weighted to be representative of actual election results.