Pennsylvania Exit Poll: Senate
What are exit polls?
Exit polls are surveys conducted on Election Day at polling places across the country. People are asked who they voted for and what issues mattered most to them.
Learn more about exit polls and methodology.
Are you:
| 2,655 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Male 50% of respondents | 44% | 54% |
Female 50% of respondents | 57% | 41% |
Are you:
| 2,619 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
White 82% of respondents | 45% | 53% |
Black 8% of respondents | 91% | 8% |
Hispanic/Latino 8% of respondents | 68% | 30% |
Asian 2% of respondents | - | - |
Other 2% of respondents | - | - |
Are you:
| 2,619 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
White 82% of respondents | 45% | 53% |
Non-White 18% of respondents | 77% | 22% |
Sex by race
| 2,616 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
White men 41% of respondents | 39% | 59% |
White women 40% of respondents | 51% | 48% |
Black men 3% of respondents | - | - |
Black women 5% of respondents | - | - |
Latino men 4% of respondents | - | - |
Latino women 3% of respondents | - | - |
All other races 3% of respondents | - | - |
In which age group are you?
| 2,644 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
18-29 12% of respondents | 70% | 28% |
30-44 18% of respondents | 58% | 40% |
45-64 35% of respondents | 46% | 53% |
65 or over 34% of respondents | 46% | 53% |
To which age group do you belong?
| 2,644 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
18-44 31% of respondents | 63% | 35% |
45+ 69% of respondents | 46% | 53% |
In which age group are you?
| 2,644 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
18-24 7% of respondents | 72% | 25% |
25-29 5% of respondents | 68% | 31% |
30-39 13% of respondents | 60% | 37% |
40-49 11% of respondents | 50% | 49% |
50-64 29% of respondents | 45% | 54% |
65 or over 34% of respondents | 46% | 53% |
Which best describes your education? You have:
| 2,621 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Never attended college 24% of respondents | 36% | 63% |
Attended college but received no degree 21% of respondents | 56% | 41% |
Associate's degree (AA or AS) 14% of respondents | 48% | 49% |
Bachelor's degree (BA or BS) 23% of respondents | 52% | 47% |
An advanced degree after a bachelor's degree (such as JD, MA, MBA, MD, PhD) 18% of respondents | 66% | 32% |
What was the last grade of school you completed?
| 2,621 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
College graduate 41% of respondents | 59% | 40% |
No college degree 59% of respondents | 46% | 52% |
Education by race
| 2,581 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
White college graduates 35% of respondents | 56% | 43% |
White non-college graduates 47% of respondents | 38% | 60% |
Non White college graduates 6% of respondents | 74% | 25% |
Non White non-college graduates 12% of respondents | 79% | 20% |
Education by White by Sex
| 2,579 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
White women college graduates 17% of respondents | 62% | 37% |
White women non-college graduates 24% of respondents | 44% | 55% |
White men college graduates 18% of respondents | 50% | 49% |
White men non-college graduates 23% of respondents | 32% | 66% |
Non-whites 18% of respondents | 77% | 22% |
No matter how you voted today, do you usually think of yourself as a:
| 2,527 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Democrat 37% of respondents | 94% | 5% |
Republican 40% of respondents | 10% | 90% |
Independent or something else 24% of respondents | 58% | 38% |
Party by gender
| 2,522 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Democratic men 15% of respondents | 92% | 7% |
Democratic women 22% of respondents | 95% | 4% |
Republican men 22% of respondents | 10% | 89% |
Republican women 18% of respondents | 9% | 90% |
Independent men 14% of respondents | 53% | 43% |
Independent women 10% of respondents | 64% | 32% |
On most political matters, do you consider yourself:
| 2,471 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Liberal 25% of respondents | 92% | 6% |
Moderate 41% of respondents | 64% | 34% |
Conservative 34% of respondents | 9% | 91% |
Are you currently married?
| 1,115 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Yes 64% of respondents | 47% | 53% |
No 36% of respondents | 60% | 37% |
Gender by marital status
| 1,112 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Married men 36% of respondents | 42% | 57% |
Married women 28% of respondents | 52% | 48% |
Non-married men 14% of respondents | 52% | 43% |
Non-married women 21% of respondents | 65% | 34% |
Is this the first time you have ever voted in a midterm election?
| 1,170 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Yes 12% of respondents | 62% | 34% |
No 88% of respondents | 49% | 50% |
How do you feel about the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
| 1,134 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Strongly approve 17% of respondents | 96% | 4% |
Somewhat approve 29% of respondents | 94% | 5% |
Somewhat disapprove 11% of respondents | 51% | 42% |
Strongly disapprove 43% of respondents | 7% | 92% |
How do you feel about the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
| 1,134 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Strongly or somewhat approve 46% of respondents | 95% | 5% |
Strongly or somewhat disapprove 53% of respondents | 16% | 82% |
Which ONE of these five issues mattered most in deciding how you voted today: (CHECK ONLY ONE)
| 1,134 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Crime 11% of respondents | 51% | 49% |
Abortion 37% of respondents | 78% | 21% |
Inflation 28% of respondents | 27% | 72% |
Gun policy 9% of respondents | - | - |
Immigration 7% of respondents | - | - |
Do you think the condition of the nation's economy is:
| 1,175 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Excellent 4% of respondents | - | - |
Good 21% of respondents | 82% | 17% |
Not so good 37% of respondents | 66% | 31% |
Poor 38% of respondents | 14% | 85% |
Do you think the condition of the nation's economy is:
| 1,175 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Excellent or good 25% of respondents | 83% | 17% |
Not so good or poor 74% of respondents | 40% | 58% |
In the last year, has inflation caused you and your family:
| 1,105 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
A severe hardship 18% of respondents | 29% | 69% |
A moderate hardship 60% of respondents | 50% | 49% |
No hardship at all 21% of respondents | 73% | 25% |
Which comes closest to your position? Abortion should be:
| 1,134 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Legal in all cases 32% of respondents | 88% | 10% |
Legal in most cases 30% of respondents | 64% | 35% |
Illegal in most cases 26% of respondents | 10% | 88% |
Illegal in all cases 8% of respondents | - | - |
Which comes closest to your position? Abortion should be:
| 1,134 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Legal 62% of respondents | 76% | 22% |
Illegal 34% of respondents | 10% | 88% |
How do you feel about the Supreme Court decision on abortion this year that overturned Roe v. Wade:
| 1,105 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Enthusiastic 17% of respondents | 4% | 96% |
Satisfied, but not enthusiastic 21% of respondents | 15% | 84% |
Dissatisfied, but not angry 20% of respondents | 56% | 40% |
Angry 39% of respondents | 91% | 8% |
How do you feel about the Supreme Court decision on abortion this year that overturned Roe v. Wade:
| 1,105 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Enthusiastic or satisfied 38% of respondents | 10% | 89% |
Dissatisfied or angry 59% of respondents | 79% | 19% |
In the 2020 election for president, did you vote for:
| 1,134 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Joe Biden (Dem) 48% of respondents | 93% | 6% |
Donald Trump (Rep) 45% of respondents | 8% | 92% |
Other 3% of respondents | - | - |
Did not vote 3% of respondents | - | - |
Do you think that Joe Biden legitimately won the presidency in 2020?
| 1,105 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Yes 61% of respondents | 78% | 20% |
No 35% of respondents | 7% | 92% |
Would you like to see Joe Biden run for president in 2024?
| 1,105 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Yes 27% of respondents | 85% | 13% |
No 69% of respondents | 36% | 63% |
How confident are you that elections in your state are being conducted fairly and accurately?
| 1,134 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Very confident 43% of respondents | 83% | 16% |
Somewhat confident 30% of respondents | 41% | 58% |
Not very confident 19% of respondents | 18% | 80% |
Not at all confident 7% of respondents | - | - |
How confident are you that elections in your state are being conducted fairly and accurately?
| 1,134 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Confident 73% of respondents | 66% | 33% |
Not confident 26% of respondents | 14% | 84% |
Is your opinion of Donald Trump:
| 1,082 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Favorable 40% of respondents | 5% | 94% |
Unfavorable 58% of respondents | 82% | 16% |
Was one reason for your vote today:
| 923 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
To support Joe Biden 14% of respondents | 98% | 2% |
To oppose Joe Biden 30% of respondents | 2% | 96% |
Joe Biden was not a factor 54% of respondents | 66% | 32% |
Was one reason for your vote today:
| 923 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
To support Donald Trump 17% of respondents | 5% | 93% |
To oppose Donald Trump 26% of respondents | 91% | 8% |
Donald Trump was not a factor 55% of respondents | 46% | 53% |
Was your vote for U.S. senator mainly:
| 923 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
For your candidate 67% of respondents | 53% | 46% |
Against their opponent 28% of respondents | 44% | 55% |
In deciding how to vote for U.S. senator, how important was it to you which party controls the Senate?
| 923 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Very important 74% of respondents | 51% | 49% |
Somewhat important 17% of respondents (tie) | 48% | 48% |
Not too important 5% of respondents | - | - |
Not at all important 3% of respondents | - | - |
In deciding how to vote for U.S. senator, how important was it to you which party controls the Senate?
| 923 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Very important or somewhat important 91% of respondents | 50% | 49% |
Not too important or not at all important 8% of respondents | - | - |
When did you finally decide for whom to vote in the U.S. Senate election?
| 923 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
In the last few days 4% of respondents | - | - |
In the last week 5% of respondents | - | - |
In October 17% of respondents | 40% | 58% |
Before that 72% of respondents | 55% | 45% |
When did you finally decide for whom to vote in the U.S. Senate election?
| 923 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
In the last month 27% of respondents | 39% | 58% |
Before that 72% of respondents | 55% | 45% |
When did you finally decide for whom to vote in the U.S. Senate election?
| 923 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
In the last week 9% of respondents | - | - |
Before that 90% of respondents | 52% | 47% |
Which ONE candidate quality mattered most in deciding how you voted for U.S. Senate? (CHECK ONLY ONE)
| 950 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Cares about people like me 20% of respondents | 69% | 30% |
Has the right experience 7% of respondents | - | - |
Has honesty and integrity 32% of respondents | 62% | 36% |
Shares my values 35% of respondents | 37% | 62% |
Are John Fetterman's views too extreme?
| 950 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Yes 44% of respondents | 6% | 93% |
No 53% of respondents | 92% | 7% |
Are Mehmet Oz's views too extreme?
| 950 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Yes 50% of respondents | 90% | 8% |
No 46% of respondents | 13% | 86% |
Are John Fetterman or Mehmet Oz's views too extreme?
| 950 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Only John Fetterman 38% of respondents | 1% | 99% |
Only Mehmet Oz 44% of respondents | 98% | 2% |
Both 6% of respondents | - | - |
Neither 9% of respondents | - | - |
Do you think John Fetterman is in good enough health to represent the state effectively in the U.S. Senate?
| 947 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Yes 51% of respondents | 93% | 6% |
No 46% of respondents | 4% | 95% |
Do you think Mehmet Oz has lived in Pennsylvania long enough to represent the state effectively in the U.S. Senate?
| 947 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Yes 41% of respondents | 5% | 95% |
No 57% of respondents | 83% | 15% |
In today's election for governor, did you just vote for:
| 2,638 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Josh Shapiro 56% of respondents | 90% | 9% |
Doug Mastriano 43% of respondents | 2% | 98% |
Population of area, three categories
| 2,660 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
City over 50,000 27% of respondents | 68% | 31% |
Suburbs 62% of respondents | 46% | 52% |
Small city and Rural 11% of respondents | 35% | 64% |
Geo Stratum Code
| 2,660 Respondents | Voted (D) | Voted (R) |
|---|---|---|
Philadelphia 9% of respondents | 85% | 14% |
Philly Suburbs 18% of respondents | 61% | 37% |
Northeast 20% of respondents | 43% | 56% |
Central 23% of respondents | 31% | 68% |
West 29% of respondents | 55% | 43% |