Virginia Exit Poll: President
Entrance and Exit Polls Explainer
Entrance and Exit polls are surveys conducted on Election Day outside of polling places in a sample of precincts across the country. Entrance Polls take place before voters enter a Caucus, whereas Exit Polls take place after voters leave a Primary. People are asked not only whom they voted for, but also what issues mattered most to them. For more details, read the Exit Polls Explainer.
For more information about the research methods, read the Exit Poll Methodology.
Are you:
(1,699 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Are you: | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Male (50%) 850 respondents | 67% | 31% | - |
Female (50%) 850 respondents | 59% | 38% | - |
Are you:
(1,680 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Are you: | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
White (87%) 1,462 respondents | 63% | 35% | - |
Black (4%) 67 respondents | - | - | - |
Hispanic/Latino (5%) 84 respondents | - | - | - |
Asian (2%) 34 respondents | - | - | - |
Other (2%) 34 respondents | - | - | - |
Are you:
(1,680 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Are you: | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
White (87%) 1,462 respondents | 63% | 35% | - |
Non-White (13%) 218 respondents | 62% | 32% | - |
In which age group are you?
(1,694 Respondents)
Candidate order
| In which age group are you? | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
17-29 (6%) 102 respondents | 64% | 31% | - |
30-44 (16%) 271 respondents | 60% | 37% | - |
45-64 (43%) 728 respondents | 63% | 33% | - |
65 or over (34%) 576 respondents | 62% | 36% | - |
In which age group are you?
(1,694 Respondents)
Candidate order
| In which age group are you? | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
17-24 (4%) 68 respondents | - | - | - |
25-29 (3%) 51 respondents | - | - | - |
30-39 (9%) 152 respondents | 56% | 40% | - |
40-49 (16%) 271 respondents | 62% | 34% | - |
50-64 (35%) 593 respondents | 64% | 33% | - |
65 or over (34%) 576 respondents | 62% | 36% | - |
To which age group do you belong?
(1,694 Respondents)
Candidate order
| To which age group do you belong? | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
17-44 (22%) 373 respondents | 62% | 35% | - |
45+ (78%) 1,321 respondents | 63% | 34% | - |
Which best describes your education? You have:
(1,672 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Which best describes your education? You have: | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Never attended college (20%) 334 respondents | 83% | 15% | - |
Attended college but received no degree (17%) 284 respondents | 75% | 23% | - |
Associate's degree (AA or AS) (11%) 184 respondents | 72% | 22% | - |
Bachelor's degree (BA or BS) (26%) 435 respondents | 54% | 43% | - |
An advanced degree after a bachelor's degree (such as JD, MA, MBA, MD, PhD) (26%) 435 respondents | 41% | 56% | - |
What was the last grade of school you completed?
(1,672 Respondents)
Candidate order
| What was the last grade of school you completed? | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
College graduate (52%) 869 respondents | 47% | 50% | - |
No college degree (48%) 803 respondents | 78% | 19% | - |
Education by race
(1,648 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Education by race | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
White college graduates (45%) 742 respondents | 46% | 51% | - |
White non-college graduates (42%) 692 respondents | 79% | 19% | - |
Non White college graduates (6%) 99 respondents | 54% | 42% | - |
Non White non-college graduates (7%) 115 respondents | - | - | - |
Before today, had you ever voted in a Republican presidential primary?
(846 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Before today, had you ever voted in a Republican presidential primary? | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Yes (80%) 677 respondents | 70% | 28% | - |
No (18%) 152 respondents | 30% | 65% | - |
No matter how you voted today, do you usually think of yourself as a:
(1,617 Respondents)
Candidate order
| No matter how you voted today, do you usually think of yourself as a: | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Democrat (10%) 162 respondents | 11% | 84% | - |
Republican (60%) 970 respondents | 79% | 19% | - |
Independent or something else (30%) 485 respondents | 48% | 49% | - |
On most political matters, do you consider yourself:
(1,592 Respondents)
Candidate order
| On most political matters, do you consider yourself: | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Very conservative (30%) 478 respondents | 87% | 11% | - |
Somewhat conservative (37%) 589 respondents | 69% | 29% | - |
Moderate (27%) 430 respondents | 36% | 62% | - |
Liberal (6%) 96 respondents | - | - | - |
On most political matters, do you consider yourself:
(1,592 Respondents)
Candidate order
| On most political matters, do you consider yourself: | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Liberal (6%) 96 respondents | - | - | - |
Moderate (27%) 430 respondents | 36% | 62% | - |
Conservative (67%) 1,067 respondents | 77% | 21% | - |
On most political matters, do you consider yourself:
(1,592 Respondents)
Candidate order
| On most political matters, do you consider yourself: | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Conservative (67%) 1,067 respondents | 77% | 21% | - |
Moderate or liberal (33%) 525 respondents | 31% | 66% | - |
White evangelical or white born-again Christians
(1,647 Respondents)
Candidate order
| White evangelical or white born-again Christians | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
White evangelical or white born-again Christian (39%) 642 respondents | 79% | 20% | - |
All others (61%) 1,005 respondents | 52% | 45% | - |
Have you ever served in the U.S. military?
(856 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Have you ever served in the U.S. military? | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Yes (20%) 171 respondents | 72% | 22% | - |
No (80%) 685 respondents | 60% | 38% | - |
How do you feel about the way things are going in the country today?
(817 Respondents)
Candidate order
| How do you feel about the way things are going in the country today? | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Enthusiastic (2%) 16 respondents | - | - | - |
Satisfied, but not enthusiastic (13%) 106 respondents | 7% | 87% | - |
Dissatisfied, but not angry (42%) 343 respondents | 60% | 37% | - |
Angry (41%) 335 respondents | 83% | 16% | - |
How do you feel about the way things are going in the country today?
(817 Respondents)
Candidate order
| How do you feel about the way things are going in the country today? | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Enthusiastic or satisfied (15%) 123 respondents | 11% | 84% | - |
Dissatisfied or angry (83%) 678 respondents | 71% | 26% | - |
Do you think the condition of the nation's economy is:
(846 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Do you think the condition of the nation's economy is: | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Excellent (3%) 25 respondents | - | - | - |
Good (17%) 144 respondents | 5% | 93% | - |
Not so good (29%) 245 respondents | 56% | 40% | - |
Poor (49%) 415 respondents | 89% | 9% | - |
Do you think the condition of the nation's economy is:
(846 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Do you think the condition of the nation's economy is: | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Excellent or good (20%) 169 respondents | 8% | 90% | - |
Not so good or poor (78%) 660 respondents | 77% | 20% | - |
Which best describes your family's financial situation?
(846 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Which best describes your family's financial situation? | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Getting ahead financially (14%) 118 respondents | 30% | 68% | - |
Holding steady financially (59%) 499 respondents | 60% | 37% | - |
Falling behind financially (24%) 203 respondents | 86% | 10% | - |
Which ONE of these four issues mattered most in deciding how you voted today? (CHECK ONLY ONE)
(866 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Which ONE of these four issues mattered most in deciding how you voted today? (CHECK ONLY ONE) | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Foreign policy (11%) 95 respondents | 24% | 74% | - |
Abortion (9%) 78 respondents | - | - | - |
Immigration (38%) 329 respondents | 78% | 20% | - |
Economy (34%) 294 respondents | 68% | 29% | - |
Which ONE of these four candidate qualities mattered most in deciding how you voted today? (CHECK ONLY ONE)
(835 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Which ONE of these four candidate qualities mattered most in deciding how you voted today? (CHECK ONLY ONE) | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Shares my values (29%) 242 respondents | 63% | 31% | - |
Has the right temperament (19%) 159 respondents | 11% | 86% | - |
Fights for people like me (28%) 234 respondents | 92% | 8% | - |
Can defeat Joe Biden (17%) 142 respondents | 77% | 21% | - |
Would you favor or oppose a federal law banning most or all abortions nationwide?
(835 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Would you favor or oppose a federal law banning most or all abortions nationwide? | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Favor banning (37%) 309 respondents | 87% | 11% | - |
Oppose banning (54%) 451 respondents | 46% | 52% | - |
Should most undocumented immigrants in the U.S. be:
(817 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Should most undocumented immigrants in the U.S. be: | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Offered a chance to apply for legal status (32%) 261 respondents | 26% | 69% | - |
Deported to the countries they came from (61%) 498 respondents | 81% | 16% | - |
If Nikki Haley won the nomination, would you be:
(835 Respondents)
Candidate order
| If Nikki Haley won the nomination, would you be: | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Satisfied (46%) 384 respondents | 24% | 73% | - |
Dissatisfied (52%) 434 respondents | 96% | 2% | - |
If Donald Trump won the nomination, would you be:
(835 Respondents)
Candidate order
| If Donald Trump won the nomination, would you be: | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Satisfied (67%) 559 respondents | 93% | 6% | - |
Dissatisfied (32%) 267 respondents | 1% | 95% | - |
Who do you trust more to handle the economy?
(835 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Who do you trust more to handle the economy? | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Nikki Haley (31%) 259 respondents | 2% | 95% | - |
Donald Trump (66%) 551 respondents | 93% | 5% | - |
Who do you trust more to handle border security?
(835 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Who do you trust more to handle border security? | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Nikki Haley (30%) 251 respondents | 2% | 96% | - |
Donald Trump (68%) 568 respondents | 90% | 7% | - |
Who do you trust more to handle an international crisis?
(835 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Who do you trust more to handle an international crisis? | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Nikki Haley (34%) 284 respondents | 5% | 92% | - |
Donald Trump (63%) 526 respondents | 95% | 3% | - |
Which candidate has the physical and mental health needed to serve effectively as president?
(835 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Which candidate has the physical and mental health needed to serve effectively as president? | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Only Nikki Haley (30%) 251 respondents | 3% | 96% | - |
Only Donald Trump (31%) 259 respondents | 98% | 1% | - |
Both of them (34%) 284 respondents | 87% | 11% | - |
Neither of them (3%) 25 respondents | - | - | - |
Does Nikki Haley have the physical and mental health needed to serve effectively as president?
(835 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Does Nikki Haley have the physical and mental health needed to serve effectively as president? | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Nikki Haley does (64%) 534 respondents | 48% | 50% | - |
Nikki Haley does not (34%) 284 respondents | 91% | 5% | - |
Does Donald Trump have the physical and mental health needed to serve effectively as president?
(835 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Does Donald Trump have the physical and mental health needed to serve effectively as president? | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Donald Trump does (65%) 543 respondents | 92% | 6% | - |
Donald Trump does not (33%) 276 respondents | 5% | 91% | - |
Have Nikki Haley's criticisms of Donald Trump been:
(817 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Have Nikki Haley's criticisms of Donald Trump been: | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Mostly fair (40%) 327 respondents | 16% | 82% | - |
Mostly unfair (51%) 417 respondents | 95% | 3% | - |
Have Donald Trump's criticisms of Nikki Haley been:
(817 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Have Donald Trump's criticisms of Nikki Haley been: | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Mostly fair (43%) 351 respondents | 92% | 6% | - |
Mostly unfair (47%) 384 respondents | 31% | 66% | - |
If Nikki Haley is nominated, how likely is it that she would defeat Joe Biden in November?
(817 Respondents)
Candidate order
| If Nikki Haley is nominated, how likely is it that she would defeat Joe Biden in November? | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Very likely (21%) 172 respondents | 31% | 68% | - |
Somewhat likely (31%) 253 respondents | 54% | 45% | - |
Not too likely (26%) 212 respondents | 72% | 22% | - |
Not at all likely (17%) 139 respondents | 94% | 4% | - |
If Nikki Haley is nominated, how likely is it that she would beat Joe Biden in November?
(817 Respondents)
Candidate order
| If Nikki Haley is nominated, how likely is it that she would beat Joe Biden in November? | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Likely (52%) 425 respondents | 45% | 54% | - |
Not likely (43%) 351 respondents | 81% | 15% | - |
If Donald Trump is nominated, how likely is it that he would defeat Joe Biden in November?
(817 Respondents)
Candidate order
| If Donald Trump is nominated, how likely is it that he would defeat Joe Biden in November? | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Very likely (57%) 466 respondents | 89% | 9% | - |
Somewhat likely (24%) 196 respondents | 32% | 64% | - |
Not too likely (10%) 82 respondents | - | - | - |
Not at all likely (4%) 33 respondents | - | - | - |
If Donald Trump is nominated, how likely is it that he would defeat Joe Biden in November?
(817 Respondents)
Candidate order
| If Donald Trump is nominated, how likely is it that he would defeat Joe Biden in November? | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Likely (81%) 662 respondents | 72% | 26% | - |
Not likely (14%) 114 respondents | 4% | 92% | - |
Was your vote for president mainly:
(846 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Was your vote for president mainly: | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
For your candidate (67%) 567 respondents | 79% | 19% | - |
Against their opponent (29%) 245 respondents | 29% | 69% | - |
Do you consider yourself part of the MAGA movement?
(817 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Do you consider yourself part of the MAGA movement? | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Yes (34%) 278 respondents | 96% | 3% | - |
No (57%) 466 respondents | 39% | 56% | - |
If Donald Trump were to be convicted of a crime, would you consider him fit to be president?
(835 Respondents)
Candidate order
| If Donald Trump were to be convicted of a crime, would you consider him fit to be president? | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Yes (55%) 459 respondents | 94% | 5% | - |
No (37%) 309 respondents | 16% | 80% | - |
In the election for president this November, will you vote for the Republican nominee regardless of who it is?
(817 Respondents)
Candidate order
| In the election for president this November, will you vote for the Republican nominee regardless of who it is? | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Yes (62%) 507 respondents | 83% | 14% | - |
No (31%) 253 respondents | 20% | 76% | - |
Do you think that Joe Biden legitimately won the presidency in 2020?
(835 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Do you think that Joe Biden legitimately won the presidency in 2020? | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Yes (41%) 342 respondents | 23% | 74% | - |
No (50%) 418 respondents | 94% | 4% | - |
How do you feel about the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
(817 Respondents)
Candidate order
| How do you feel about the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president? | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Strongly approve (4%) 33 respondents | - | - | - |
Somewhat approve (15%) 123 respondents | 5% | 93% | - |
Somewhat disapprove (11%) 90 respondents | - | - | - |
Strongly disapprove (67%) 547 respondents | 84% | 13% | - |
How do you feel about the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
(817 Respondents)
Candidate order
| How do you feel about the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president? | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Strongly or somewhat approve (19%) 155 respondents | 5% | 92% | - |
Strongly or somewhat disapprove (78%) 637 respondents | 76% | 21% | - |
When did you finally decide for whom to vote in the presidential primary?
(866 Respondents)
Candidate order
| When did you finally decide for whom to vote in the presidential primary? | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
Just today (6%) 52 respondents | - | - | - |
In the last week (7%) 61 respondents | - | - | - |
Earlier this year (20%) 173 respondents | 42% | 54% | - |
Before that (64%) 554 respondents | 78% | 21% | - |
Time: Last week/Earlier than that
(866 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Time: Last week/Earlier than that | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
In the last week (14%) 121 respondents | 27% | 70% | - |
Earlier than that (85%) 736 respondents | 69% | 28% | - |
Time: Last week/Earlier this year/Earlier than that
(866 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Time: Last week/Earlier this year/Earlier than that | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
In the last week (14%) 121 respondents | 27% | 70% | - |
Earlier this year (20%) 173 respondents | 42% | 54% | - |
Earlier than that (64%) 554 respondents | 78% | 21% | - |
Population of area, three categories
(1,712 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Population of area, three categories | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
City over 50,000 (18%) 308 respondents | 54% | 42% | - |
Suburbs (71%) 1,216 respondents | 63% | 34% | - |
Small city and Rural (11%) 188 respondents | 80% | 19% | - |
Geo Stratum Code
(1,712 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Geo Stratum Code | Trump | Haley | Other |
|---|---|---|---|
D.C. Suburbs (27%) 462 respondents | 43% | 54% | - |
Central Virginia (20%) 342 respondents | 71% | 25% | - |
Hampton Rds (13%) 223 respondents | 66% | 30% | - |
Richmnd/Southsde (18%) 308 respondents | 65% | 30% | - |
Mountain (22%) 377 respondents | 77% | 23% | - |