We tracked the undecided races of the 2024 election
Republicans are on track to have a narrow 220-215 majority in the House.
We found out that President-elect Donald Trump had won the White House late on election night, but several downballot races across the country took weeks to be resolved. 538 reporters, analysts and contributors tracked all the late-breaking races as they were projected with live updates, analysis and commentary.
When the dust settled, Republicans won a 53-47 majority in the Senate, and the GOP looks like they’ll finish with a narrow 220-215 majority in the House. Other important races, from ballot measures to state Supreme Court elections, also went to recounts.
Read our full live blog of the post-Election Day count below.
Key Headlines
Evans projected to upset in Colorado's 8th
In another competitive Centennial State contest, ABC News is reporting that state Rep. Gabe Evans is projected to win the House race in Colorado's 8th District. It's something of an upset: Evans had a 32.6% chance of winning in 538's final preelection forecast. He'll unseat Democrat Rep. Yadira Caraveo by less than one percentage point, and currently leads by around 2,500 votes. As House control looks to come down to just a few seats, this pickup may help Republicans retain control of the lower chamber, giving them a trifecta on Capitol Hill next year.
Republicans hold onto seat in Colorado's 3rd District
ABC News reports that Republican Jeff Hurd is projected to win the congressional seat in Colorado formerly occupied by Rep. Lauren Boebert (who ran in a neighboring district). The move was a risky bet for Republicans, as Boebert just barely eked out a win in 2022 before leaving to run for another seat. The move ultimately worked in her party's favor, however: With 94% of the expected vote in, Hurd leads his challenger, Democrat Adam Frisch, 50% to 46%.
As of Monday, Hurd was ahead by about 13,500 votes — a much larger margin than the approximately 600 votes Boebert won by in 2022. But, notably, Hurd overcame a massive fundraising deficit against Frisch, who had one of the largest congressional war chests in the nation. Frisch has already conceded.
Curtains for Kent in Washington's 3rd
Over the weekend, ABC News reported that Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez is projected to win reelection in Washington's 3rd District. This is a Trump-friendly seat in southwest Washington that played host to one of 2022's closest races, when Gluesenkamp Perez won by fewer than 3,000 votes over Republican Joe Kent. But despite Kent returning for another bout — and with a more professional campaign — the mechanic and moderate Democrat won a more comfortable victory this time around; she currently leads Kent by 4.2%, or about 16,000 votes, with 93% of the expected vote reporting. And that's with Trump carrying the district by what will likely be a sizable margin.
Trump wins Arizona, completing sweep of the swing states
ABC News reports that Trump is projected to win Arizona. That was the last unresolved state on the presidential level, so we now know that Trump will win the Electoral College 312-226 — a sweep of the seven big swing states.