Undecided races of the 2024 election: Live results and analysis

Ohio's 9th District in the state's northwest is another U.S. House race with a razor-thin margin that will head to a recount before a winner can be officially determined. There, longtime Democratic Rep. Marcy Kaptur leads Republican Derek Merrin by about 0.3 points, 48.1% to 47.8%, putting the race's margin inside the state's 0.5-point threshold to precipitate an automatic recount.

Kaptur's lead in the raw vote tally is just 1,193 votes, but the race could get even closer before the formal recount process begins. That's because there are probably at least 12,000 absentee and provisional ballots that counties in the district still must tabulate before officially reporting their results to the secretary of state on Nov. 20. That said, those ballots might actually be decent for Kaptur because Democratic-leaning voters have shown a greater preference for voting absentee than GOP-leaning ones in recent years. But that may also depend on just how many votes are provisional and how many are absentee, as this is a district that Trump likely carried by 6-to-8 points this year, which could make any vote cast on Election Day (like a provisional ballot) potentially a more GOP-leaning one by comparison.

Biden carried this blue-leaning district by nearly 9 points in 2020, while Chavez-DeRemer won by around 2 points in 2022, becoming the first Republican to hold the seat in around 25 years. Democratic groups also spent heavily in the district's primary, with establishment forces looking to boost Bynum over Jamie McLeod Skinner, who lost to Chavez-DeRemer two years ago and was seen as a weaker general election candidate. It looks like that investment paid off for them.

In addition to races for Congress and state legislature, there are still three notable ballot measure elections where we don’t know the winner yet.

-In Alaska, Ballot Measure 2 (which would repeal the state’s top-four primary and ranked-choice general election) is currently leading by a narrow margin, 50.4% to 49.6%.

-In California, Proposition 32 (which would raise the minimum wage to $18 per hour) is currently losing 51% to 49%. If it fails, it would the first statewide ballot measure increasing the minimum wage to fail since 1996.

-In Missouri, Amendment 2 (which would legalize sports gambling) is currently leading just 50.1% to 49.9%.

Alaska counted an additional approximately 8,500 more votes last night, and things continue to look bright for Republican Nick Begich III in his bid to oust Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola. With 93% of the expected vote in, ABC News reports that Begich continues to lead 49% to 46%.

As a reminder, Alaska uses ranked-choice voting. So if a candidate does not win a majority of first-choice votes, then the subsequent rankings for Begich and Peltola will be taken into account. We reran our analysis of Alaska's Cast Vote Record with this latest release of votes, and our findings of the incomplete CVR data suggest that Begich would continue to lead after taking into account ranked-choice voting. Once all the subsequent rankings of voters who initially cast ballots for the third- and fourth-place contenders are carried out, Begich leads by about 52% to Peltola's 48%. Of course, Alaska is still tallying their ballots, so these numbers could change, though probably not by much.