We're tracking races for president, Senate, House and more across the country.
Polls have closed in some states and the first results are coming in in the high-stakes presidential match-up between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. According to 538's forecast, both candidates have a roughly equal chance to win.
Voters are still at polling places around the country, casting ballots to decide who controls not only the White House, but also Congress, state and local governments.
Reporters from 538 and ABC News will be following along every step of the way with live updates, analysis and commentary on the results. Keep up to date with our full live blog below!
Despite the popularity of former Republican Gov. Larry Hogan, Maryland’s Senate race is poised to reaffirm the blue leanings of the Old Line State with Democrat Angela Alsobrooks running ahead of her benchmarks in most counties.
With 55% of the expected vote in for North Carolina, I'm identifying patterns for the counties in and around the state's biggest metro areas. Harris is meeting or slightly exceeding her benchmarks in counties that comprise the Research Triangle -- Wake, Durham and Orange -- with at least 75% of the vote reported in each. On the flip side in Union County, just outside of Charlotte, Trump is outperforming his benchmark of R+22.8 by 2 points with more than 95% of the vote reported there.
As expected, Mississippi’s Senate race has been projected by ABC for Roger Wicker, the longtime Republican incumbent. In that race, Wicker is facing Democratic challenger Ty Perkins. In 2018, which was a Democratic-leaning year generally, Wicker still beat his Democratic challenger by almost 20 percentage points.
Of any state, Mississippi has the highest fraction of African Americans, and voting there tends to be very racially polarized. As a result, it has relatively little year-to-year variation in its federal races (although a Democratic gubernatorial candidate did make last year’s gubernatorial election interesting, losing by only 3 percentage points.
Only 20% of the expected vote is reporting in Wisconsin, but I can already tell it's shaping up to be another photo finish there. Currently, Harris has 51% and Trump has 47%. In the Senate race, though, Democrat Tammy Baldwin is running slightly ahead of Harris. She currently has 55% to Republican Eric Hovde's 43%.
