Follow the latest 538 Podcast news, videos, and analysis from ABC News.
March 4, 2025 at 12:56 AM
Is the era of ‘macho man’ politics here? | 538 Politics Podcast
In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen speaks with Rachael Bade and Geoffrey Skelley about what to expect from congressional negotiations.
March 4, 2025 at 12:56 AM
1 month ago
No, it's not getting more dangerous to fly | 538 Politics Podcast
In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen discusses flight safety data with CNN Senior Data Reporter and 538 alumnus himself Harry Enten.
1 month ago
1 month ago
Democrats aren't popular. What should they do about it? | 538 Politics Podcast
In this 538 Politics podcast, Galen speaks with Washington Post data scientist Lenny Bronner and New York Times polling editor Ruth Igielnik about how the Democratic party may evolve.
1 month ago
1 month ago
Trump's theory of presidential power | 538 Politics Podcast
In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast Galen speaks with constitutional law professor Peter Shane about presidential power and its limits during President Trump's second term.
1 month ago
1 month ago
A Valentine? In This Romantic Recession? | 538 Politics Podcast
On this Valentine’s Day installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen is joined by Daniel Cox and Kelsey Eyre Hammond of the Survey Center on American Life.
1 month ago
2 months ago
How data became a political football | 538 Politics Podcast
In this post-Super Bowl edition, the 538 crew talks about prop bets and the rapid rise of sports gambling, along with the offlining of key government datasets under President Trump and why it matters.
2 months ago
2 months ago
The view from Europe | 538 Politics Podcast
Jeanna Smialek, Brussels bureau chief for The New York Times, joins the show to break down the view from Europe.
2 months ago
2 months ago
Will Trump's agenda make it through Congress? | 538 Politics Podcast
On this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen is joined by Rachael Bade, Politico’s Capitol Hill bureau chief and senior Washington columnist.
2 months ago
2 months ago
Will tariffs end Trump’s honeymoon? | 538 Politics Podcast
Today on the 538 Politics podcast, the crew breaks down these tariff orders and how Americans feel about them.
2 months ago
2 months ago
Trump’s federal funding fiasco | 538 Politics Podcast
The Office of Management and Budget issued a memo attacking DEI programs and putting trillions in government funding at risk. States sued, and the administration backtracked.
2 months ago
2 months ago
Trump's second term begins | 538 Politics Podcast
The crew reacts to President Donald Trump’s second inaugural address, as well as Trump’s plans for issuing dozens of executive orders.
2 months ago
2 months ago
The highs and lows of Biden’s presidency | 538 Politics Podcast
With just days remaining in President Joe Biden’s term, the crew reflects on the past four years and tries to determine how this administration will be remembered.
2 months ago
2 months ago
How serious is Trump about Greenland? | 538 Politics Podcast
With one week remaining before President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration, the nation is orienting itself towards his policy goals. Will they include the addition of new American territory?
2 months ago
3 months ago
What Will The Politics of 2025 Look Like? | 538 Politics Podcast
What’s on the horizon for American politics in 2025? In this episode of the 538 Politics Podcast, the team dives into what lies ahead.
3 months ago
3 months ago
Campaign Throwback: ‘The Economy, Stupid’ | 538 Politics Podcast
This is the first installment of the 538 Politics podcast mini-series, “Campaign Throwback.” This episode originally aired in May.
3 months ago
3 months ago
What we're putting in our 2024 time capsule | 538 politics podcast
In the second part of our end-of-year series on the 538 Politics podcast, the crew builds a time capsule to capture the political essence of the year.
3 months ago
4 months ago
A topsy-turvy week in review | 538 politics podcast
The 538 crew looks at President-elect Donald Trump’s Cabinet picks, the status of House Republicans’ slim majority, and examine the polling on President Joe Biden’s pardon of his son Hunter.
4 months ago
4 months ago
Your post-election questions, answered
In this post-election mailbag episode, the crew tackles your burning questions about the 2024 election.
4 months ago
4 months ago
The 2026 Midterms Are Only 701 Days Away | 538 Politics Podcast
Deep dive into the 2026 midterm elections, with the 538 team analyzing the prospects for both the House and Senate.
4 months ago
5 months ago
How Trump won over voters
The 538 team discusses how Donald Trump won the election despite being disliked by a majority of Americans.
5 months ago
5 months ago
Did voter turnout hurt Democrats in the 2024 election?
538’s Galen Druke and G. Elliot Morris discuss how voter turnout was less than 2020 and how that impacted this year’s election.
5 months ago
5 months ago
What early exit polls tell us about this year’s election
538’s G. Elliot Morris shares data on voter priorities in the exit polls.
5 months ago
5 months ago
Can the Washington primary predict the general election?
538’s Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich discuss what Washington state's primary can tell us about who will win in November.
5 months ago
5 months ago
Are women of color energized to vote?
538’s Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich debate the meaning of the spike in voter registrations after Kamala Harris announced her presidential campaign.
5 months ago
5 months ago
The election isn’t a popularity contest
The 538 team discusses why the candidate with the higher favorability rating isn’t running away with the election.
5 months ago
5 months ago
The backlash against liberalism on college campuses | 538 Politics podcast
538’s Galen Druke and professors Matt Grossman and David Hopkins talk about why some liberal academic ideas have been rejected by those with college degrees.
5 months ago
5 months ago
Is education the main dividing line in U.S. politics? | 538 Politics podcast
538’s Galen Druke and professors Matt Grossman and David Hopkins discuss the Diploma Divide and whether college degrees have become a deciding factor in political affiliation.
5 months ago
5 months ago
Does academia have a liberalism problem? | 538 Politics podcast
538’s Galen Druke and professors Matt Grossman and David Hopkins discuss the influence of liberalism on college campuses.
5 months ago
5 months ago
What percent of voters are truly undecided?
538’s Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich discuss how many voters are genuinely up for grabs in the 2024 presidential election.
5 months ago
5 months ago
The difference between undecided voters and swing voters
The 538 team considers whether voters who are undecided or voters who go back and forth between parties are the same thing.
5 months ago
6 months ago
What issues matter to Americans? | 538 Politics Podcast
538's Galen Druke and The New York Times’s Ruth Igielnik discuss how important voters rank climate change, national security and the Middle East ahead of the election.
6 months ago
6 months ago
How a scandal in New York could affect the national House race
538's Galen Druke and G. Elliott Morris discuss allegations of possible violations of ethics rules by Rep. Anthony D'Esposito and what it means for which party wins the House.
6 months ago
6 months ago
How Harris is distancing herself from Biden on the economy | 538 Politics podcast
The 538 team discusses the strategic differences between the Harris campaign when addressing inflation and the economy compared to President Joe Biden.
6 months ago
6 months ago
Will foreign policy impact the 2024 election? | 538 Politics podcast
The 538 team discusses conflict in the Middle East and whether it impacts whom Americans will cast their ballot for in November.
6 months ago
6 months ago
The importance of polls and public opinion | 538 Politics podcast
538's Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich talk about the role polling can have in a democracy, from measuring issues voters consider important to providing insight into presidential elections.
6 months ago
6 months ago
Why you can't predict polling error in advance | 538 Politics podcast
The 538 team discusses how polls have underestimated Democratic and Republican support in the past and how unpredictable the direction of polling error can be.
6 months ago
6 months ago
What does a margin of error in polling mean? | 538 Politics podcast
The 538 team discusses what you should know about the margin of error of national and state polls.
6 months ago
6 months ago
Why Democrats are doing better in Senate races than presidentially
The 538 team discusses what our new polling averages say in the states that will decide the Senate majority.
6 months ago
6 months ago
What does early voting data reveal? | 538 Politics podcast
The 538 team discusses whether early voting data is a good indicator of who will win the 2024 presidential election.
6 months ago
6 months ago
Will the Electoral College benefit Republicans again? | 538 Politics podcast
538's Galen Druke and Geoffrey Skelley talk about the Electoral College advantage in past elections and how it could play out in 2024.
6 months ago
6 months ago
Does the Taylor Swift effect include voting? | 538 Politics podcast
The New York Times's Ruth Igielnik discusses how Taylor Swift’s endorsement of Kamala Harris has affected voter registration and the presidential race.
6 months ago
6 months ago
Is the gender gap growing? | 538 Politics podcast
538's Galen Druke and The New York Times's Ruth Igielnik discuss how young women are more liberal and what that means for the future electorate.
6 months ago
6 months ago
What do voters think about political violence? | 538 Politics podcast
538's Galen Druke and The New York Times's Ruth Igielnik talk about the percentage of Americans open to a variety of manifestations, from protesting to more serious violence.
6 months ago
7 months ago
How did the candidates perform at the debate? | 538 Politics podcast
ABC News politics reporter Brittany Shepherd shares insight into what surrogates said about the candidates' performance in the spin room after the debate.
7 months ago
7 months ago
Why abortion was a bigger issue in the Harris-Trump debate | 538 Politics podcast
The 538 crew discusses how the issue of reproductive rights played a bigger role in the Harris-Trump debate compared to the previous debate with Trump and Biden.
7 months ago
7 months ago
Do Americans know Kamala Harris better after the debate? | 538 Politics podcast
538's Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich discuss whether Kamala Harris was able to define herself to Americans during the debate.
7 months ago
7 months ago
What polling says about key voting groups in the 2024 election
The 538 team discusses what polling reveals about young, older and first-time voters ahead of the November election.
7 months ago
7 months ago
What does economic data reveal about the November election? | 538 Politics Podcast
538's Galen Druke and Geoffrey Skelley discuss the role economic sentiment could play in the 2024 presidential election.
7 months ago
7 months ago
3 potential sources of polling error in the 2024 election | 538 Politics Podcast
538's Galen Druke speaks with Ruth Igielnik of The New York Times about potential sources of error in polling.
7 months ago
7 months ago
What does the upcoming presidential debate mean for Harris? | 538 Politics Podcast
538's Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich discuss the importance of Kamala Harris’s first presidential debate.
7 months ago