CRYSTAL BALL: Our Predictions for Iowa Results

Jan 3, 2012 7:00am
gty crystal ball jef 120102 wblog CRYSTAL BALL: Our Predictions for Iowa Results

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We’re journalists, not prognosticators. But in this business, sometimes it is just an irresistible conversation line to turn to each other and ask, ‘so, what do you think is really going to happen?’

Monday morning on Good Morning America, Matthew Dowd and George Stephanopoulos put it out there. Dowd says he thinks Rick Santorum is going to snag first place in Tuesday’s Iowa Caucus.  That’s a big prediction for a candidate who was trailing in last place in the polls just a few weeks ago.  George predicts Romney will take first in the Caucus, but he says he “wouldn’t be surprised by Ron Paul or Santorum.”

And so, with the understanding that we really don’t know what’s going to happen for sure (nobody does), here are the predictions of some of the best political minds at ABC News.  This is the order we predict the candidates will finish in Iowa.  What do you think? Tell us below. And on Wednesday we’ll call out the winners.  (and I use the phrase ‘winners loosely’…the only prize here is bragging rights -  and the opportunity to lord your win over your friends and colleagues).

RICK KLEIN , Senior Washington Editor, World News with Diane Sawyer:

Romney, Santorum, Paul, Perry, Gingrich, Bachmann, Huntsman

 

AMY WALTER, ABC News Political Director

Romney, Santorum, Paul, Gingrich, Perry, Bachmann, Huntsman

 

JONATHAN KARL, ABC News Senior Political Correspondent

Santorum, Romney, Paul, Gingrich, Perry, Bachmann, Huntsman

 

Z. BYRON WOLF, ABCNews.com Politics Editor

Romney, Perry, Paul, Santorum, Gingrich, Bachmann, Huntsman

(These predictions were altered before caucus time)

 

CHRIS GOOD, ABC News political unit

Romney, Santorum, Paul, Gingrich, Perry, Bachmann, Huntsman

 

ELIZABETH HARTFIELD, ABC News political unit

Romney, Santorum, Paul, Perry, Gingrich, Bachmann, Huntsman

 

MATT NEGRIN, ABC News political reporter

Paul, Romney, Gingrich, Santorum, Perry, Bachmann, Huntsman

 

SARA JUST, Senior Washington Editor, ABC News Digital

Paul, Romney, Santorum, Perry, Gingrich, Bachman, Huntsman

 

AMY BINGHAM, ABC News political reporter

Romney, Paul, Santorum, Perry, Gingrich, Bachmann, Huntsman

 

HUMA KHAN, ABC News digital reporter

Romney, Santorum, Paul, Gingrich, Perry, Bachmann, Huntsman

 

 KAREN TRAVERS, ABC News correspondent

Romney, Paul, Santorum, Perry, Gingrich, Bachmann, Huntsman

 

GEORGE SANCHEZ, ABC News Assignment Editor

Santorum, Romney, Paul, Perry, Bachmann, Gingrich, Huntsman

 

SARAH PARNASS, ABC News’ wicked smart intern

Romney, Paul, Santorum, Gingrich, Bachmann, Perry, Huntsman

 

 

SHOWS:
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