FiveThirtyEight releases House forecast update

Find out why FiveThirtyEight is currently giving Democrats a higher than 80% chance of winning the House.
1:26 | 09/12/18

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Transcript for FiveThirtyEight releases House forecast update
Yeah. The classic version of size 38 house forecast currently gives Democrats about a Ivins sex or about an 82% chance of winning a majority. And he gives Republicans about a won in six. This is the first time our forecast. Has given the Democrats more than an 80% chance of winning house since the launch of a model. So why I have the chances improved. Two reasons. First we got a new batch of generic ballot polls. And many of them showed Democrats with a double digit lead that included some of our highest rated pollsters such as Marist college and Quinnipiac University our current generic ballot which takes a lot of convincing before will believe a new trend is real shows Democrats leading Republicans by about 9%. It wasn't just generic ballot polls Democrats also got some good district model. With a four and a half point lead over incumbent Republican representative John fast. It was the first nonpartisan survey to show Delgado meeting and our classic forecasts which have the Democrat as a slight underdog now shows him as the slight favorites. Go to find thirty dot com slash house forecast to explore the model for years and.

This transcript has been automatically generated and may not be 100% accurate.

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