FiveThirtyEight: Previewing Washington vs. Kansas City

Neil Paine provides a preview for the Monday Night Football matchup between Washington and Kansas City.
1:16 | 06/17/18

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Transcript for FiveThirtyEight: Previewing Washington vs. Kansas City
This Monday night the Kansas City Chiefs and the Washington Redskins square off in Kansas City. Who will be keeping a particular eye on the difference in quarterback styles between Kirk cousins and Alex Smith. Cousins is a pretty traditional QB who's been on particular success slinging the ball deep down the field. He ranks third in the league over the past three seasons and value added on passes that traveled twenty or more yards in the air treating eighteen point five more points than a replacement level QB. Compare that with Smith Smith ranks dead last over the past three seasons in the percentage of his passes that traveled over twenty yards through the air. In fact he hardly ever even throws the ball more than ten yards down field. To make up for those Smith has thrown more screen passes and other passes behind the line of scrimmage than any other QB in the league over the past three seasons. And under coach Andy Reid he Casey offense has found a way to make it work. Smith is tied with Tom Brady for the most wins of any QB over the past three seasons and his chiefs are currently the only undefeated team left. In the AFC. We'll see what style of quarterbacking prevails on Monday but our predictions thing Kansas City is a heavy favorite. With a 78% chance of winning the game.

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