FiveThirtyEight: Election Update - Sept. 21, 2016

Harry Enten introduces FiveThirtyEight's new senate forecast and gives an update on the current presidential race.
1:14 | 06/09/18

Coming up in the next {{countdown}} {{countdownlbl}}

Coming up next:

{{nextVideo.title}}

{{nextVideo.description}}

Skip to this video now

Now Playing:

{{currentVideo.title}}

Comments
Related Extras
Related Videos
Video Transcript
Transcript for FiveThirtyEight: Election Update - Sept. 21, 2016
While we finally launched our senate forecast then and the race for the senate about it tied it can possibly be. Democrats have a 55 point 1% chance of taking over the chamber according where polls only forecast. While polls plus forecast give Democrats a 55 point 6% chance. I'm looking at the state of Indiana it's an interesting rates we have Democrat Evan Bayh coming out of retirement there. And the polls. Well the proposed tell a different story. If you look at the public polls that suggest atom buys up but only by single pitch at. Unfortunately because a law in that state. We only have a limited number of public polls but then if you look at the private polls mostly released by democratic leaning organizations we see that Evan Bayh has a double digit lead. Which ones right. We don't know. The reason we care about Indiana it's pretty simple if Democrats win that state of Indiana they'll probably take control of the United States senate if they lose. The road becomes a little bit longer. And since they've got me in that seat anyway here's a quick update on the presidential race. Hillary Clinton has a 57 point 1% chance of earning her way to the White House according to our polls only forecasts are also plus forecast put that a little bit tighter with Hillary Clinton had a 55 point 7% chance.

This transcript has been automatically generated and may not be 100% accurate.

{"duration":"1:14","description":"Harry Enten introduces FiveThirtyEight's new senate forecast and gives an update on the current presidential race.","mediaType":"default","section":"ABCNews/fivethirtyeight","id":"55768155","title":"FiveThirtyEight: Election Update - Sept. 21, 2016","url":"/fivethirtyeight/video/fivethirtyeight-election-update-sept-21-2016-55768155"}