FiveThirtyEight: Spurs' loss historically disappointing

Neil Paine and Reuben Fischer-Baum show that team's as good as San Antonio almost never depart the playoffs this early.
3:46 | 06/17/18

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Transcript for FiveThirtyEight: Spurs' loss historically disappointing
Well Western Conference finals if that not exactly the match up we are expecting him not to want I was expecting no it wasn't even that close in the end undertaken in six games how badly did the spurs just put this. Yes so the spurs that you know we talked about them all season is being this historically dominant team and they really had the numbers in fact they had the best point differential in the NBA yet heard the word warrior 173 games during the regular season. And if you compare where they actually ended up losing just been in the second round. Verse is where other teams that played as well as them during the regular season ended up. There's like this huge gap they might be one of the most disappointing playoff teams of all times well me yet. We mapped it out gone back to 84 which was the first year of the sixteen team NBA playoff bracket and so. Free to these. I have this playoff point system that kind of gives you points for how far you advance a thousand for winning did championship 500 for losing in the finals to fifty fear of losing in the conference god that's there. So these are all the teens from history in kind of where they lined up according to efficiency margin you know points to minus points scored minds points allowed per 100 possessions during the season. And there's a you see there's a relationship there in kind of arcs upward. Where you know if your bad team and you make the playoffs are probably gonna lose in the first round but if you're good team and go up into becoming a great team. You are more likely to win the finals which they clearly makes sense and if you superimpose this year's playoff teams that are still alive. And the reason they're between the two is that we don't know where they're gonna end up yet the warriors probably have like a 50% shot of getting up to opened five winning the finals getting up to a thousand but they have like a 30% shot. Of losing the finals and got it percent of the longest total of up of one of his lives irregular kind of like an average of where they could be exact are eventually they left so you can see even there eight arcs upper where the warriors are much more likely to win the finals are just progressed further into the playoffs. Then a team like the raptors the beginning and see the cavs are actually put on on a higher track in the thunder because they don't have to go through the wars right. But if you add one other teen dot on to this list and we'll see this errors who really think followed the same arc as other teams. Of the same efficiency different so they'd be right up there. Next to or above the warriors has again they had a better. Point differential during the season. Instead by finishing is losing in the second round on and finishing on that second line. That really makes them one of the most disappointing team. So does this totally spoil the Western Conference finals for us wherever we're really excited Eleanor spears amounted to the agent. Not not gonna hats are disappointed should we be. Actually not very disappointed so yeah we were you know though warriors vs the spurs would be an historic inn and you know highly anticipated match out of but as kind of consolation prizes go the thunder vs the words is also an incredible match of the thunder great team and in fact we went back through history using what we call you low ratings which of 530 meters like. Our power rating exactly freaks either. And that according to the average of the two teams ratings going into the conference finals. And again this is since 1984. This war years under Western Conference final is actually be highest rated of any conference final in that span. So it's kind of like oh here's your consolation prize the you don't. C warriors vs spurs you get to see warriors vs thunder which could be as good or even better of it. They're able to watch an ordinance thank you so much you know and I'm make sure to check out our NBA predictions that fact that he would dugout.

This transcript has been automatically generated and may not be 100% accurate.

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