FiveThirtyEight: The Bills need to win this Sunday

Neil Paine previews this Sunday's matchup between the New England Patriots and the Buffalo Bills and looks back at how the Bills find themselves in their current situation.
1:41 | 06/17/18

Coming up in the next {{countdown}} {{countdownlbl}}

Coming up next:

{{nextVideo.title}}

{{nextVideo.description}}

Skip to this video now

Now Playing:

{{currentVideo.title}}

Comments
Related Extras
Related Videos
Video Transcript
Transcript for FiveThirtyEight: The Bills need to win this Sunday
Their only five weeks remaining in the NFL's regular season and the clock is ticking for some teams in the playoff friends. After all there are only so many of those wild card spot to go around. Take for example the Buffalo Bills. Six week nine their playoff pods according to the 538 model of roller coaster from 50%. Down to 36%. Further down to 17% after week eleven another back up to 31%. After the bills beat Kansas City last week. In a way the bills only have themselves to blame for their current predicament after they fixed their starting quarterback Tyrod Taylor for weeks the left. There was benching with particularly puzzling because according to stats he's actually quite good for the since he became Buffalo's regular starter in 2015 Taylor ranks twelfth in the league in total QB ER. Over the same period that's better than other quarterbacks it's a Cam Newton. Alex Smith. And even Matt Stafford. Just this season in the games that Tyrod has started the bills have a passer rating of nineteen point nine. Which would rank thirteenth best in the league instead they've actually ranked twentieth because they had to start Nathan Peter man in that game against the chargers. Who knows where the bills would be now if Taylor had started the game instead. Either way they're gonna need Tyrod to play at his absolute best against the patriots this Sunday they want to make the playoffs. A win against their AFC east rivals would put the bills play iPods up to 56%. But a loss dropped them all the way down to 21%. And fortunately for buffalo fans he had the patriots as strong favorites in this matchup giving them a 73%. Chance of a winning the game.

This transcript has been automatically generated and may not be 100% accurate.

{"duration":"1:41","description":"Neil Paine previews this Sunday's matchup between the New England Patriots and the Buffalo Bills and looks back at how the Bills find themselves in their current situation.","mediaType":"default","section":"ABCNews/fivethirtyeight","id":"55953986","title":"FiveThirtyEight: The Bills need to win this Sunday","url":"/fivethirtyeight/video/fivethirtyeight-bills-win-sunday-55953986"}