FiveThirtyEight: Tom Brady is king of the comebacks

Neil Paine previews Super Bowl LII from the Patriots angle and figures out just how good Tom Brady is when his team is down.
1:40 | 06/20/18

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Transcript for FiveThirtyEight: Tom Brady is king of the comebacks
The New England Patriots are in the Super Bowl yet again. And on paper they should match up pretty well against the Philadelphia Eagles the patriots into the regular season with the league's number one offense in terms of efficiency. The face in the fourth ranked defense in the Eagles it's the other side of the ball that might cause the patriots and issues that. The Patriots defense was ranked all the way down 24 in the league during the regular season. That we tested against the top ten ranked Eagles office. However according to 538 UO model the patriots are still favorites with a 50% chance of winning another super. But that's standard a 58% chance of winning practically makes this email but they are 85% favorites against Tennessee 81% against Jackson. With all due respect to the titans and jaguars new England's path to the big game this year was something of a cakewalk. Of course the jaguars almost one anyway before Tom Brady led the pats to another comeback win. Over the past few years it seemed as though Brady can always find a way to go super day and when his team is down. It's 4014 with his team trailing by two scores or fewer in the fourth quarter Tom Brady has posted a QBR of 91 point one. In the playoffs a perfect score is one country. And the patriots have won 80% of the time. That's insane compare that to the rest of the week when the average quarterback is down two or fewer scores in the playoffs the league average QPR was only 56 point one. And the team won only 28%. Of those games all this means that this coming Sunday no matter the score Eagles fans will not get a chance to relax. And at the same time it must feel pretty good to be a patriots fan knowing that a big comeback it's always possible.

This transcript has been automatically generated and may not be 100% accurate.

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