Do you buy that Trump can ride a midwest path to victory in 2020?

FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver looks at what polling data says about the likelihood of the 2020 electoral map looking like it did in 2016.
2:10 | 06/21/20

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Transcript for Do you buy that Trump can ride a midwest path to victory in 2020?
I read the politics once just once in my life and I became president. We'll be key. And our country will never ever be stronger. I think. We're gonna have a big victory in the state of Minnesota. President trump chose Oklahoma first first rally number three months. And has plans to visit Arizona Wisconsin next week. We asked Nate Silver controlled ride a midwest path to victory in 20/20 as he did it's when he sixteen. Big news from us. I pretty came out with her presidential polling averages this week they'll be updated every day from now through November so go check them out. Confided in all the fund about the electoral map. Joseph Biden leads by around nine points or national polling average in at least has been growing of course national polls don't really matter otherwise Hillary Clinton would have been present. But it's worth noting that such a large fleet is unusual in politics these days Clinton never led by more than seven points for example and at this point that it doesn't use. Russell by analyst John McCain by around six points. So trump needs me to come back and there is plenty of time for that and maybe just to get some help from the Electoral College the race is a bit tighter in the west we have tightened up by of the hottest. Points in Wisconsin and fight to Pennsylvania. Biden also can't necessarily to Minnesota for granted trap. At between sixteen and has been vocal in there since the protests began in the state. But there are a lot of issues for trial he's behind by ten in this one and Biden is doing so well Florida ahead by seven points if Biden's. Florida heat only need one state from them in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin group. More Biden could lose all those states that women who Wear our average hasn't up. So for the time being no I don't I veteran had exactly the same map as and 2016 instead trump this kind of fighting a two front war with problems in the midwest on one hand. And then Arizona and Florida on the other hand. I want to be really clear how can absolutely win reelection but he definitely has his work cut out for him.

This transcript has been automatically generated and may not be 100% accurate.

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