Transcript for Why Matthew Dowd Thinks Biden May Regret Not Jumping in 2016 Race
Unfortunately, I believe we're out of time, the time necessary to mount a winning campaign for the nomination. But while I will not be a candidate, I will not be silent -- I intend to speak out clearly and forcefully to influence as much as I can where we stand as a party and where we need to go as a nation. We're back now with the powerhouse roundtable on the current state of the 2016 democratic race and our big predictions for the new year. Let me ask you, the big question now is, as we get to home stretch in Iowa and new Hampshire, Bernie sanders, his momentum seems to have stalled a little bit, lz, can he regain that momentum and win in those states? Because he has to, right? I think it's pretty much a done deal. As I said before the break, it's apparent on the gop side. I think we all know what's going to happen on the democratic side. Everyone likes the idea of Bernie sanders. But when you start breaking down what he wants to do and how much it's going to cost, rational democrats and the moveable middle are saying Hillary Clinton is the bet. If this hasn't been the year of trump this would have been -- we would be talking about the year of Bernie sanders, what he's done in taking on the establishment and Hillary Clinton, keep in mind, he's at the same percentage that Donald Trump has among republicans he has among democrats. I think the only way he cracks this open, and possibly has a path, he has to wiiowa and new Hampshire and hope the whole race breaks. But it does show -- What happens if he does? Then I think Joe Biden regrets his decision of not having not run. Which I think he should anyway. I think he didn't have to put an organization like everyone thought he should -- But Biden couldn't jump in. No. I think Hillary Clinton slogs it out. She becomes more weak in that process, and the only thing that democrats hope for, after that long slog, she wins the nomination after that long slog. I agree with lz, it's highly unlikely, he loses Iowa. But Mary, I mean, he has taken off in a way that none of us had predicted. Absolutely. If he wins Iowa and new Hampshire, remember, tradition and history says you have to win one of those. The last time a democrat lost both and went on to win the nomination was a Clinton. It's entirely possible that you could see another Clinton pull that same thing off. Could be. The biggest story is how weak Hillary Clinton is -- Time-out, what do you mean, how weak she is? The republicans as you're happily talking about have this trump fiasco going on. Hillary Clinton now loses by a point, two or three to Marco Rubio, who's a pretty unknown first-term senator, she's tied with Ted Cruz in the last national poll. She's unbelievably weak -- All right, let me show you -- She's under water. Bernie sanders, I think if he does win, it's an important question that Mary raises. Bernie can beat her in new Hampshire pretty easily, I think. Beat her in New Hampshire and -- I think it could be a Mondale situation. Let's take a look at the very -- most recent national poll, Donald Trump versus Hillary Clinton matchup. Take a look at those Numbers, lz, this is within the margin of error. Right now, CNN poll they are tied. And every other republican is stronger than Hillary Clinton, right, Jon? First of all, I don't speak for the Hillary Clinton campaign. In that race you vote no, right? Right. I think America knows. I think what we're looking at right now is what governor kasich talked about earlier, polls schmolls. Someone who supports discrimination and someone who doesn't. Believe it or not, that will boil down to a lot of young voters. Someone who's a racist and says horrible things about women -- The only republican Hillary Clinton can beat is Donald Trump. No, I think the two weakest republicans that she'll win against are the two leading republican candidates right now, Donald Trump and Ted Cruz. She's going to win in those races. One big reason is, there will be a third party gop-type candidate will run, if Donald Trump or Ted Cruz is the nominee. I used to think Cruz couldn't beat Clinton. I'm struck by these polls. I want to get to a prediction. Let's skip ahead. Let's assume that Hillary Clinton wins the democratic nomination, who is her running mate? I think it's going to be a white male that appeal to the working-class voters, somebody from the midwest or from the west. I would put on that list, the governor of Colorado, which a key state, or senator brown of Ohio which is probably going to be top of the list. She's got to bolster her working-class base. Okay. Lz? I'm thinking she's going to wait as long as possible to see where Cruz or Rubio falls. Even though when you understand the hispanic and Latino community -- she's either to go Castro or Kane. Okay. Not Raul Castro. Or Fidel. He's still around. I think Sherrod brown of Ohio or Kane. I go Castro. He checks off a lot of boxes, young, male. He doesn't have a ton of experience.
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