Transcript for Nate Silver and Michael Lewis on the 2016 election
Uncertainty is a tough sell a name we've found that. Yeah. You know if you say hang lights still there to be bought yet. I do think you're right certainties tough so you found it in your business to be pretty impossible. In the world moving that direction. In the same way that like baseball management. Has become more and more less and less about the raw intuitive judgment so called experts and more more about. Kind of database. Decision making the teeth and you think there's something about politics in particular 'cause I'm in baseball. There has been kind of their revolution right now it turns out that it's not unilaterally by the geeks but you know in every for an officer Twain thirty right. Where is in politics and you take an example like like wrecks it for example where the polls so did it. Too close to calories and the pundits who said no no no no it's going to be remain remain remain and then leave wins in the pundits blame the polls and sent. Something about how. Well I mean it's let's literally true yeah right people have trouble accepting. That. Polls are only rough guys to whip people and with the population's going to do you and the analysis of the polls. Good music it is it's only going to be your you've if you if you only have a rough picture electorate. You know the announces he be the perfect picture. You just in this going to be some unpredictability. If you took which just cap and switch a few thousand votes in a few states would air the narrative would be completely different rightly or how incredibly accurate these polls you're.
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