Should voters look at election forecast as codification?
For us here at 538, forecasting is an exercise in quantifying the reliability of various indicators of public opinion.
June 11, 2024
Additional Live Streams
Top Stories
Top Stories
Luigi Mangione brought to New York for arraignment on federal charges
2 hours agoPetra Nemcova discusses surviving tsunami 20 years later with Diane Sawyer
2 hours agoGovernment shutdown looms as Trump-backed plan fails to pass House
Dec 19, 2024Major airports issue winter weather alerts as holiday travel peaks
Dec 19, 2024Luigi Mangione extradited to New York for arraignment in federal court
Dec 19, 2024Delivery workers strike against Amazon across the country
Dec 19, 2024FAA temporarily bans drones in parts of New Jersey
Dec 19, 2024Criminal defense attorney breaks down Luigi Mangione’s criminal complaint
Dec 19, 2024By The Numbers: Holiday Travel
Dec 19, 2024Concerns over rising bird flu cases
Dec 19, 2024Johnson speaks on spending debate
Dec 19, 2024OSHA settles with Amazon over working conditions
Dec 19, 2024Trump takes credit for killing government funding deal
Dec 19, 2024Willis disqualified from GA election case against Trump, but indictment still stands
Dec 19, 2024Thousands of Amazon workers go on strike
Dec 19, 2024Former aide to New York City mayor surrenders on bribery charges
Dec 19, 2024Democratic whip on looming shutdown: Elon Musk ‘pulled the rug out’
Dec 19, 2024Dominique Pelicot given maximum 20 year sentence in France rape trial
Dec 19, 20241 dead after Texas train derailment
Dec 19, 2024Putin: West's air defenses have 'no chance' against Russian ballistic missile
Dec 19, 2024Battle over TikTok heads to Supreme Court
Dec 19, 2024Congress passes child abuse act championed by Paris Hilton
Dec 19, 2024Model Petra Nemcova opens up 20 years after deadly tsunami
Dec 19, 2024Africa CDC says undiagnosed disease in Congo may be linked to malaria
Dec 19, 2024FBI investigates unruly passenger allegedly restrained on cruise dies
Dec 19, 2024A look at the Spurs vs. Knicks game on Christmas Day
Dec 19, 2024Michael Vick agrees to head coaching job at Norfolk State
Dec 19, 2024Nicole Kidman talks 'Babygirl'
Dec 19, 2024Philadelphia Zoo lights up for the holidays
Dec 19, 2024Inside Eli Lilly and Company's fight against counterfeit drugs
Oct 03, 2024
ABC News Live Presents
ABC News Live Presents
Shot in the Dark: Weight Loss Injection Wars
Nov 25, 2024October 7th: The Race to Survive
Oct 07, 2024January 6th: The Fight to Rewrite History
Oct 03, 2024The President and First Lady of Ukraine | Robin Roberts Reporting
Sep 25, 2024Maui Strong 808: Rising from the Ashes
Aug 08, 202410 Million Names
Jun 19, 2024Generation Swipe
May 23, 2024Amplified: Asian American Native Hawaiian Pacific Islander Voices
May 16, 2024The Power of Us: People, Climate and Our Future
Apr 25, 2024Trashed: The Secret Life of Plastic Exports
Apr 23, 2024Toll of War: The José Andrés Interview | Martha Raddatz Reports
Apr 08, 2024Fertility in America | Rebecca Jarvis Reporting
Mar 28, 2024One-on-One: A Conversation with Robin Roberts and Caitlin Clark
Mar 15, 2024After the Fall: A Conversation with Robin Roberts and Jenifer Lewis
Mar 12, 2024Prince Harry's Mission: Life, Family and Invictus Games
Feb 23, 2024Tackling Mental Health | Michael Strahan Reports
Feb 16, 2024Severed: Diabetes Denial and Mistrust
Feb 15, 2024Exodus: Global Migration
Jan 26, 2024Battle Cry: Fighting Assault in the Military
Dec 08, 2023Fallout: Two Nations Under Uranium
Nov 30, 2023The American Classroom
Nov 17, 2023Disaster Uninsured
Nov 16, 2023Hispanic Heritage Month: Entre Nos - 1st Gen
Sep 28, 2023Hispanic Heritage Month: Entre Nos – 2nd Gen
Oct 09, 2023Hip-hop at 50: The architect, the First Amendment and the fashion explosion
Aug 23, 2023Elliot Page: In His Own Words
Jun 19, 2023Culture Conversations - CC: AANHPI Heritage Month
May 25, 2023Trashed: The Secret Life of Plastic Recycling
May 24, 2023The Power of Water
Apr 20, 2023Tone Death: Loss & Hip-Hop
Mar 14, 2023
ABC News Specials on
Impact X Nightline: On the Brink
Dec 14, 2023Impact X Nightline: Unboxing Shein
Nov 27, 2023The Lady Bird Diaries
Nov 27, 2023Impact X Nightline: It's Britney
Nov 27, 2023Impact X Nightline: Natalee Holloway -- A Killer Confesses
Nov 27, 2023Impact X Nightline: Who Shot Tupac?
Nov 27, 2023Wild Crime
Oct 26, 2022Impact x Nightline
Oct 28, 2022Power Trip: Those Who Seek Power and Those Who Chase Them
Sep 27, 2022The Murders Before the Marathon
Sep 01, 2022The Ivana Trump Story: The First Wife
Jul 25, 2022Aftershock
Jul 18, 2022Mormon No More
Jun 22, 2022Leave No Trace: A Hidden History of the Boy Scouts
Jun 15, 2022Keeper of the Ashes: The Oklahoma Girl Scout Murders
May 20, 2022The Orphans of COVID: America's Hidden Toll
May 13, 2022Superstar: Patrick Swayze
Apr 14, 2022The Kardashians -- An ABC News Special
Apr 05, 202224 Months That Changed the World
Mar 30, 2022Have You Seen This Man?
Mar 22, 2022
